Latest Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts project Warsaw's highest temperature on May 15 clustering around 19-20°C, fueling trader sentiment with 41.5% implied probability on 19°C and 31.5% on 20°C as leading outcomes. This follows a sharp cold spell, with May 13 highs near 12°C amid northerly winds and a lingering cold front from an omega block pattern delivering arctic air masses earlier in the week; May 14 forecasts show partial recovery to 17°C. Warmer southwesterly flow and high-pressure ridging now dominate synoptic charts, boosting daytime maxima into the late teens to low 20s amid low precipitation risk. Model spreads reflect uncertainty in cloud cover and exact timing of peak heating, with IMGW updates expected later today ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 15?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 15?
19°C 38%
20°C 30%
18°C 19.8%
21°C 7%
BAGO
$26,365 Vol.
BAGO
$26,365 Vol.
May 15, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
20%
19°C
38%
20°C
30%
21°C
7%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 38%
20°C 30%
18°C 19.8%
21°C 7%
BAGO
$26,365 Vol.
BAGO
$26,365 Vol.
May 15, 2026
15°C or below
$1,620 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$797 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,383 Vol.
1%
18°C
$2,410 Vol.
20%
19°C
$3,933 Vol.
38%
20°C
$1,815 Vol.
30%
21°C
$3,161 Vol.
7%
22°C
$2,882 Vol.
1%
23°C
$5,904 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1,414 Vol.
1%
25°C or higher
$1,154 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts project Warsaw's highest temperature on May 15 clustering around 19-20°C, fueling trader sentiment with 41.5% implied probability on 19°C and 31.5% on 20°C as leading outcomes. This follows a sharp cold spell, with May 13 highs near 12°C amid northerly winds and a lingering cold front from an omega block pattern delivering arctic air masses earlier in the week; May 14 forecasts show partial recovery to 17°C. Warmer southwesterly flow and high-pressure ridging now dominate synoptic charts, boosting daytime maxima into the late teens to low 20s amid low precipitation risk. Model spreads reflect uncertainty in cloud cover and exact timing of peak heating, with IMGW updates expected later today ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$26,365Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts project Warsaw's highest temperature on May 15 clustering around 19-20°C, fueling trader sentiment with 41.5% implied probability on 19°C and 31.5% on 20°C as leading outcomes. This follows a sharp cold spell, with May 13 highs near 12°C amid northerly winds and a lingering cold front from an omega block pattern delivering arctic air masses earlier in the week; May 14 forecasts show partial recovery to 17°C. Warmer southwesterly flow and high-pressure ridging now dominate synoptic charts, boosting daytime maxima into the late teens to low 20s amid low precipitation risk. Model spreads reflect uncertainty in cloud cover and exact timing of peak heating, with IMGW updates expected later today ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$26,365Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts project Warsaw's highest temperature on May 15 clustering around 19-20°C, fueling trader sentiment with 41.5% implied probability on 19°C and 31.5% on 20°C as leading outcomes. This follows a sharp cold spell, with May 13 highs near 12°C amid northerly winds and a lingering cold front from an omega block pattern delivering arctic air masses earlier in the week; May 14 forecasts show partial recovery to 17°C. Warmer southwesterly flow and high-pressure ridging now dominate synoptic charts, boosting daytime maxima into the late teens to low 20s amid low precipitation risk. Model spreads reflect uncertainty in cloud cover and exact timing of peak heating, with IMGW updates expected later today ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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