Current numerical weather prediction models, including those from the Met Office, indicate an overnight low near 9 °C for London on May 18, with ensemble spreads placing the most likely range between 8 °C and 10 °C. This tight clustering of market-implied probabilities reflects limited divergence among short-range forecasts two days ahead, driven by expected light winds and variable cloud cover that modulate radiative cooling overnight. Clear intervals would allow temperatures to drop closer to 8 °C, while increased low-level cloud or a passing shower could hold readings nearer 10 °C. Historical May minima in the city average around 8–9 °C, providing a climatological baseline that traders weigh against the latest model guidance. Next updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts are expected to refine the precise minimum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in London on May 18?
Lowest temperature in London on May 18?
8°C 23%
12°C or higher 22.0%
9°C 18%
7°C 15%
BAGO
BAGO
May 18, 2026
2°C or below
1%
3°C
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
12%
8°C
21%
9°C
25%
10°C
13%
11°C
8%
12°C or higher
13%
8°C 23%
12°C or higher 22.0%
9°C 18%
7°C 15%
BAGO
BAGO
May 18, 2026
2°C or below
$52 Vol.
1%
3°C
$52 Vol.
1%
4°C
$65 Vol.
1%
5°C
$296 Vol.
1%
6°C
$62 Vol.
1%
7°C
$26 Vol.
12%
8°C
$15 Vol.
21%
9°C
$15 Vol.
25%
10°C
$0 Vol.
13%
11°C
$0 Vol.
8%
12°C or higher
$81 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current numerical weather prediction models, including those from the Met Office, indicate an overnight low near 9 °C for London on May 18, with ensemble spreads placing the most likely range between 8 °C and 10 °C. This tight clustering of market-implied probabilities reflects limited divergence among short-range forecasts two days ahead, driven by expected light winds and variable cloud cover that modulate radiative cooling overnight. Clear intervals would allow temperatures to drop closer to 8 °C, while increased low-level cloud or a passing shower could hold readings nearer 10 °C. Historical May minima in the city average around 8–9 °C, providing a climatological baseline that traders weigh against the latest model guidance. Next updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts are expected to refine the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$664Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current numerical weather prediction models, including those from the Met Office, indicate an overnight low near 9 °C for London on May 18, with ensemble spreads placing the most likely range between 8 °C and 10 °C. This tight clustering of market-implied probabilities reflects limited divergence among short-range forecasts two days ahead, driven by expected light winds and variable cloud cover that modulate radiative cooling overnight. Clear intervals would allow temperatures to drop closer to 8 °C, while increased low-level cloud or a passing shower could hold readings nearer 10 °C. Historical May minima in the city average around 8–9 °C, providing a climatological baseline that traders weigh against the latest model guidance. Next updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts are expected to refine the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$664Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCCurrent numerical weather prediction models, including those from the Met Office, indicate an overnight low near 9 °C for London on May 18, with ensemble spreads placing the most likely range between 8 °C and 10 °C. This tight clustering of market-implied probabilities reflects limited divergence among short-range forecasts two days ahead, driven by expected light winds and variable cloud cover that modulate radiative cooling overnight. Clear intervals would allow temperatures to drop closer to 8 °C, while increased low-level cloud or a passing shower could hold readings nearer 10 °C. Historical May minima in the city average around 8–9 °C, providing a climatological baseline that traders weigh against the latest model guidance. Next updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts are expected to refine the precise minimum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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