Recent forecast model runs from the Met Office and European ensembles point to overnight cloud cover and light westerly winds limiting radiative cooling, keeping London's minimum temperature likely between 9°C and 11°C. These conditions contrast with clearer skies that could allow greater heat loss and push readings toward 8°C or lower. With leading market-implied odds closely split across 9°C, 10°C, and 11°C, traders are weighing subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and the timing of any incoming Atlantic front against historical mid-May averages near 8°C. Updated guidance later today will clarify whether the overnight low settles nearer the upper or lower end of that narrow range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in London on May 17?
10°C 30%
9°C 23%
11°C 19%
8°C 5.6%
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
6%
9°C
23%
10°C
30%
11°C
21%
12°C or higher
<1%
10°C 30%
9°C 23%
11°C 19%
8°C 5.6%
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
6%
9°C
23%
10°C
30%
11°C
21%
12°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRecent forecast model runs from the Met Office and European ensembles point to overnight cloud cover and light westerly winds limiting radiative cooling, keeping London's minimum temperature likely between 9°C and 11°C. These conditions contrast with clearer skies that could allow greater heat loss and push readings toward 8°C or lower. With leading market-implied odds closely split across 9°C, 10°C, and 11°C, traders are weighing subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and the timing of any incoming Atlantic front against historical mid-May averages near 8°C. Updated guidance later today will clarify whether the overnight low settles nearer the upper or lower end of that narrow range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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