Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensembles currently cluster Seoul’s overnight low for May 17 near 14–15 °C under a stable high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies and efficient radiative cooling. Light winds below 3 m/s overnight enhance surface heat loss, while the urban heat island effect from Seoul’s dense built environment tempers deeper cooling. Model spread remains the dominant uncertainty: slightly stronger southerly flow or any residual cloud cover could lift the minimum to 16 °C, whereas a brief pulse of cooler continental air would favor 13 °C. Mid-May climatology from the Seoul Central Observatory places typical minima between 12 °C and 16 °C, so traders are pricing the narrow window between the two leading outcomes almost equally. Updated KMA guidance tonight will narrow the final range before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Seoul on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 17?
14°C 38%
15°C 25%
16°C 12%
13°C 7.5%
BAGO
BAGO
May 17, 2026
12°C or below
4%
13°C
7%
14°C
31%
15°C
31%
16°C
12%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
14°C 38%
15°C 25%
16°C 12%
13°C 7.5%
BAGO
BAGO
May 17, 2026
12°C or below
$256 Vol.
4%
13°C
$622 Vol.
7%
14°C
$69 Vol.
31%
15°C
$62 Vol.
31%
16°C
$40 Vol.
12%
17°C
$137 Vol.
2%
18°C
$1,430 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,772 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,768 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$848 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$641 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensembles currently cluster Seoul’s overnight low for May 17 near 14–15 °C under a stable high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies and efficient radiative cooling. Light winds below 3 m/s overnight enhance surface heat loss, while the urban heat island effect from Seoul’s dense built environment tempers deeper cooling. Model spread remains the dominant uncertainty: slightly stronger southerly flow or any residual cloud cover could lift the minimum to 16 °C, whereas a brief pulse of cooler continental air would favor 13 °C. Mid-May climatology from the Seoul Central Observatory places typical minima between 12 °C and 16 °C, so traders are pricing the narrow window between the two leading outcomes almost equally. Updated KMA guidance tonight will narrow the final range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Volume
$7,633Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensembles currently cluster Seoul’s overnight low for May 17 near 14–15 °C under a stable high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies and efficient radiative cooling. Light winds below 3 m/s overnight enhance surface heat loss, while the urban heat island effect from Seoul’s dense built environment tempers deeper cooling. Model spread remains the dominant uncertainty: slightly stronger southerly flow or any residual cloud cover could lift the minimum to 16 °C, whereas a brief pulse of cooler continental air would favor 13 °C. Mid-May climatology from the Seoul Central Observatory places typical minima between 12 °C and 16 °C, so traders are pricing the narrow window between the two leading outcomes almost equally. Updated KMA guidance tonight will narrow the final range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$7,633Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIKorea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensembles currently cluster Seoul’s overnight low for May 17 near 14–15 °C under a stable high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies and efficient radiative cooling. Light winds below 3 m/s overnight enhance surface heat loss, while the urban heat island effect from Seoul’s dense built environment tempers deeper cooling. Model spread remains the dominant uncertainty: slightly stronger southerly flow or any residual cloud cover could lift the minimum to 16 °C, whereas a brief pulse of cooler continental air would favor 13 °C. Mid-May climatology from the Seoul Central Observatory places typical minima between 12 °C and 16 °C, so traders are pricing the narrow window between the two leading outcomes almost equally. Updated KMA guidance tonight will narrow the final range before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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