Current forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration show Seoul's overnight minimum temperature stabilizing near 14°C on May 16 under a dominant high-pressure ridge that limits radiational cooling. Ensemble runs exhibit tight agreement on this value, with minimal spread in wind and humidity variables that drive nocturnal temperature drops, producing the 99.6% market-implied probability. Mid-May climatological baselines for Seoul place typical lows between 12–15°C, placing 14°C squarely within expected ranges. A late-arriving frontal boundary or unanticipated cloud cover could still nudge the reading one degree either way before final verification, though model guidance indicates these adjustments are unlikely to materialize.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Seoul on May 16?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 16?
14°C 99.6%
13°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$44,785 Vol.
$44,785 Vol.
May 16, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.6%
13°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$44,785 Vol.
$44,785 Vol.
May 16, 2026
13°C or below
$2,664 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$4,304 Vol.
100%
15°C
$17,751 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$2,301 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,078 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,605 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,915 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,686 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,464 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,090 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$4,928 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration show Seoul's overnight minimum temperature stabilizing near 14°C on May 16 under a dominant high-pressure ridge that limits radiational cooling. Ensemble runs exhibit tight agreement on this value, with minimal spread in wind and humidity variables that drive nocturnal temperature drops, producing the 99.6% market-implied probability. Mid-May climatological baselines for Seoul place typical lows between 12–15°C, placing 14°C squarely within expected ranges. A late-arriving frontal boundary or unanticipated cloud cover could still nudge the reading one degree either way before final verification, though model guidance indicates these adjustments are unlikely to materialize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$44,785Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration show Seoul's overnight minimum temperature stabilizing near 14°C on May 16 under a dominant high-pressure ridge that limits radiational cooling. Ensemble runs exhibit tight agreement on this value, with minimal spread in wind and humidity variables that drive nocturnal temperature drops, producing the 99.6% market-implied probability. Mid-May climatological baselines for Seoul place typical lows between 12–15°C, placing 14°C squarely within expected ranges. A late-arriving frontal boundary or unanticipated cloud cover could still nudge the reading one degree either way before final verification, though model guidance indicates these adjustments are unlikely to materialize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$44,785Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSICurrent forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration show Seoul's overnight minimum temperature stabilizing near 14°C on May 16 under a dominant high-pressure ridge that limits radiational cooling. Ensemble runs exhibit tight agreement on this value, with minimal spread in wind and humidity variables that drive nocturnal temperature drops, producing the 99.6% market-implied probability. Mid-May climatological baselines for Seoul place typical lows between 12–15°C, placing 14°C squarely within expected ranges. A late-arriving frontal boundary or unanticipated cloud cover could still nudge the reading one degree either way before final verification, though model guidance indicates these adjustments are unlikely to materialize.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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