Recent model guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicates overnight lows in Seoul on May 18 will likely settle between 13°C and 15°C amid typical mid-spring conditions. Clear skies and light winds favor efficient nocturnal radiative cooling, while daytime highs near 25°C limit residual heat retention. Historical data from the Seoul Central Observatory place mid-May minimums in a 12–16°C range, with the median near 14–15°C; current ensemble forecasts show limited spread around these values. Any shift in cloud cover or wind speed over the next 48 hours could nudge the observed low by 1–2°C, directly influencing the tightly contested 14°C and 15°C market outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts expected later today will provide the next key data point for traders.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Seoul on May 18?
14°C 24%
15°C 24%
13°C 11%
12°C 5.5%
11°C or below
1%
12°C
5%
13°C
11%
14°C
29%
15°C
24%
16°C
4%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
1%
14°C 24%
15°C 24%
13°C 11%
12°C 5.5%
11°C or below
1%
12°C
5%
13°C
11%
14°C
29%
15°C
24%
16°C
4%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent model guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicates overnight lows in Seoul on May 18 will likely settle between 13°C and 15°C amid typical mid-spring conditions. Clear skies and light winds favor efficient nocturnal radiative cooling, while daytime highs near 25°C limit residual heat retention. Historical data from the Seoul Central Observatory place mid-May minimums in a 12–16°C range, with the median near 14–15°C; current ensemble forecasts show limited spread around these values. Any shift in cloud cover or wind speed over the next 48 hours could nudge the observed low by 1–2°C, directly influencing the tightly contested 14°C and 15°C market outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts expected later today will provide the next key data point for traders.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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