Recent National Weather Service ensemble forecasts and regional model guidance indicate a daytime high in the low-to-mid 80s for New York City on May 18, driven by southerly warm-air advection ahead of a departing high-pressure system. This positions the 80–81 °F and 82–83 °F bins as the tightest market leaders because most deterministic runs cluster near 81 °F while spread among members allows for a modest chance of 84 °F or slightly cooler 78 °F outcomes. Mid-May climatology for Central Park places the normal high at 74–76 °F, so the current setup represents above-average warmth tied to a building ridge and minimal cloud cover that will limit diurnal cooling. Traders are weighting the latest 12Z and 18Z model cycles most heavily, with resolution hinging on the final observed maximum at the official Central Park station.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in NYC on May 18?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 18?
80-81°F 27%
82-83°F 24%
78-79°F 21%
84-85°F 16%
BAGO
BAGO
May 18, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
5%
88°F or higher
4%
80-81°F 27%
82-83°F 24%
78-79°F 21%
84-85°F 16%
BAGO
BAGO
May 18, 2026
69°F or below
$385 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$746 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,116 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$47 Vol.
4%
76-77°F
$86 Vol.
6%
78-79°F
$424 Vol.
21%
80-81°F
$149 Vol.
27%
82-83°F
$108 Vol.
24%
84-85°F
$119 Vol.
16%
86-87°F
$48 Vol.
5%
88°F or higher
$307 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service ensemble forecasts and regional model guidance indicate a daytime high in the low-to-mid 80s for New York City on May 18, driven by southerly warm-air advection ahead of a departing high-pressure system. This positions the 80–81 °F and 82–83 °F bins as the tightest market leaders because most deterministic runs cluster near 81 °F while spread among members allows for a modest chance of 84 °F or slightly cooler 78 °F outcomes. Mid-May climatology for Central Park places the normal high at 74–76 °F, so the current setup represents above-average warmth tied to a building ridge and minimal cloud cover that will limit diurnal cooling. Traders are weighting the latest 12Z and 18Z model cycles most heavily, with resolution hinging on the final observed maximum at the official Central Park station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$3,045Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service ensemble forecasts and regional model guidance indicate a daytime high in the low-to-mid 80s for New York City on May 18, driven by southerly warm-air advection ahead of a departing high-pressure system. This positions the 80–81 °F and 82–83 °F bins as the tightest market leaders because most deterministic runs cluster near 81 °F while spread among members allows for a modest chance of 84 °F or slightly cooler 78 °F outcomes. Mid-May climatology for Central Park places the normal high at 74–76 °F, so the current setup represents above-average warmth tied to a building ridge and minimal cloud cover that will limit diurnal cooling. Traders are weighting the latest 12Z and 18Z model cycles most heavily, with resolution hinging on the final observed maximum at the official Central Park station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,045Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGARecent National Weather Service ensemble forecasts and regional model guidance indicate a daytime high in the low-to-mid 80s for New York City on May 18, driven by southerly warm-air advection ahead of a departing high-pressure system. This positions the 80–81 °F and 82–83 °F bins as the tightest market leaders because most deterministic runs cluster near 81 °F while spread among members allows for a modest chance of 84 °F or slightly cooler 78 °F outcomes. Mid-May climatology for Central Park places the normal high at 74–76 °F, so the current setup represents above-average warmth tied to a building ridge and minimal cloud cover that will limit diurnal cooling. Traders are weighting the latest 12Z and 18Z model cycles most heavily, with resolution hinging on the final observed maximum at the official Central Park station.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong