Forecast models from the ECMWF and GFS ensembles currently converge on a narrow 26–27°C range for Shanghai’s highest temperature on May 17, driving the market’s strong tilt toward those two outcomes. Mid-May conditions in the region typically feature moderating spring warmth under variable subtropical ridge influence, with ensemble spreads tightening around these values after recent model runs incorporated updated satellite and surface observations. Traders assign the highest implied probability to exactly 26°C, reflecting slightly greater consensus for that threshold amid modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and daytime heating rates. Official resolution will depend on the peak reading recorded at Shanghai Pudong International Airport, with any last-hour convective development or clearer skies able to nudge the maximum by 1°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
26°C 41%
27°C 31%
25°C 14%
28°C 12%
BAGO
$21,412 Vol.
BAGO
$21,412 Vol.
May 17, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
14%
26°C
41%
27°C
31%
28°C
12%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 41%
27°C 31%
25°C 14%
28°C 12%
BAGO
$21,412 Vol.
BAGO
$21,412 Vol.
May 17, 2026
21°C or below
$1,091 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$4,398 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$4,292 Vol.
1%
24°C
$2,861 Vol.
2%
25°C
$1,361 Vol.
14%
26°C
$1,650 Vol.
41%
27°C
$1,231 Vol.
31%
28°C
$861 Vol.
12%
29°C
$1,408 Vol.
4%
30°C
$524 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,829 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the ECMWF and GFS ensembles currently converge on a narrow 26–27°C range for Shanghai’s highest temperature on May 17, driving the market’s strong tilt toward those two outcomes. Mid-May conditions in the region typically feature moderating spring warmth under variable subtropical ridge influence, with ensemble spreads tightening around these values after recent model runs incorporated updated satellite and surface observations. Traders assign the highest implied probability to exactly 26°C, reflecting slightly greater consensus for that threshold amid modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and daytime heating rates. Official resolution will depend on the peak reading recorded at Shanghai Pudong International Airport, with any last-hour convective development or clearer skies able to nudge the maximum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$21,412Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the ECMWF and GFS ensembles currently converge on a narrow 26–27°C range for Shanghai’s highest temperature on May 17, driving the market’s strong tilt toward those two outcomes. Mid-May conditions in the region typically feature moderating spring warmth under variable subtropical ridge influence, with ensemble spreads tightening around these values after recent model runs incorporated updated satellite and surface observations. Traders assign the highest implied probability to exactly 26°C, reflecting slightly greater consensus for that threshold amid modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and daytime heating rates. Official resolution will depend on the peak reading recorded at Shanghai Pudong International Airport, with any last-hour convective development or clearer skies able to nudge the maximum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$21,412Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDForecast models from the ECMWF and GFS ensembles currently converge on a narrow 26–27°C range for Shanghai’s highest temperature on May 17, driving the market’s strong tilt toward those two outcomes. Mid-May conditions in the region typically feature moderating spring warmth under variable subtropical ridge influence, with ensemble spreads tightening around these values after recent model runs incorporated updated satellite and surface observations. Traders assign the highest implied probability to exactly 26°C, reflecting slightly greater consensus for that threshold amid modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and daytime heating rates. Official resolution will depend on the peak reading recorded at Shanghai Pudong International Airport, with any last-hour convective development or clearer skies able to nudge the maximum by 1°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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