NEA's latest fortnightly outlook for early May 2026 forecasts daily maximum temperatures of 33–35°C across Singapore under inter-monsoon conditions, with light variable winds and thundery showers over parts of the island most afternoons, driving trader consensus toward a 34.5% implied probability for 33°C or higher on May 17. This lead reflects recent warm trends, including April peaks of 35.5°C at stations like Paya Lebar, tempered by above-average rainfall risks from potential Sumatra squalls or extending showers that could suppress peaks via cloud cover and cooling. Key variables include afternoon shower timing—early onset favors 30–32°C outcomes (collectively ~65%)—sea breeze influence, and urban heat buildup; updated NEA 24-hour guidance expected daily may shift odds as the date nears resolution based on official station measurements.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Singapore on May 17?
Highest temperature in Singapore on May 17?
33°C or higher 36%
32°C 31%
31°C 15%
30°C 15%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
15%
31°C
15%
32°C
31%
33°C or higher
36%
33°C or higher 36%
32°C 31%
31°C 15%
30°C 15%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
15%
31°C
15%
32°C
31%
33°C or higher
36%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSNEA's latest fortnightly outlook for early May 2026 forecasts daily maximum temperatures of 33–35°C across Singapore under inter-monsoon conditions, with light variable winds and thundery showers over parts of the island most afternoons, driving trader consensus toward a 34.5% implied probability for 33°C or higher on May 17. This lead reflects recent warm trends, including April peaks of 35.5°C at stations like Paya Lebar, tempered by above-average rainfall risks from potential Sumatra squalls or extending showers that could suppress peaks via cloud cover and cooling. Key variables include afternoon shower timing—early onset favors 30–32°C outcomes (collectively ~65%)—sea breeze influence, and urban heat buildup; updated NEA 24-hour guidance expected daily may shift odds as the date nears resolution based on official station measurements.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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