Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Miami's May 17 high temperature, with ensemble models clustering outcomes around 84-87°F amid partly sunny skies and 30-50% chances of afternoon thunderstorms that could cap peaks via convective cooling. Recent GFS runs imply slightly warmer 88-89°F potential under light east-southeast winds and high sea surface temperatures near 82°F fueling humidity, while ECMWF guidance leans cooler at 84-86°F due to possible sea breeze enhancements and isolated showers. Climatological May 17 highs average 87°F at Miami International Airport, with urban heat effects adding 1-2°F; new model outputs expected Saturday morning could sharpen the mid-80s split.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Miami on May 17?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 17?
88-89°F 35%
86-87°F 31%
84-85°F 16%
82-83°F 8%
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
31%
88-89°F
35%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
3%
94°F or higher
2%
88-89°F 35%
86-87°F 31%
84-85°F 16%
82-83°F 8%
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
31%
88-89°F
35%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
3%
94°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIATrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Miami's May 17 high temperature, with ensemble models clustering outcomes around 84-87°F amid partly sunny skies and 30-50% chances of afternoon thunderstorms that could cap peaks via convective cooling. Recent GFS runs imply slightly warmer 88-89°F potential under light east-southeast winds and high sea surface temperatures near 82°F fueling humidity, while ECMWF guidance leans cooler at 84-86°F due to possible sea breeze enhancements and isolated showers. Climatological May 17 highs average 87°F at Miami International Airport, with urban heat effects adding 1-2°F; new model outputs expected Saturday morning could sharpen the mid-80s split.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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