Recent monsoon activity across northern India, including active systems over the Bay of Bengal and western regions, continues to drive cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rainfall over Lucknow, limiting daytime heating and supporting the market's strong consensus around 32°C (59.5% implied probability). Official forecasts indicate highs near 31–33°C for September 16 amid high humidity and 60–80% precipitation chances, consistent with climatological September averages near 33°C but tempered by reduced solar insolation from persistent overcast conditions. Recent days have seen similar readings of 31–34°C with thunderstorms, and any clearing or model shifts in steering patterns could elevate odds for 33°C or higher. Traders are weighting the latest India Meteorological Department guidance and short-range model consensus ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 16?
32°C 59%
33°C or higher 21%
31°C 20%
29°C 4%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
20%
32°C
59%
33°C or higher
21%
32°C 59%
33°C or higher 21%
31°C 20%
29°C 4%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
20%
32°C
59%
33°C or higher
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity across northern India, including active systems over the Bay of Bengal and western regions, continues to drive cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rainfall over Lucknow, limiting daytime heating and supporting the market's strong consensus around 32°C (59.5% implied probability). Official forecasts indicate highs near 31–33°C for September 16 amid high humidity and 60–80% precipitation chances, consistent with climatological September averages near 33°C but tempered by reduced solar insolation from persistent overcast conditions. Recent days have seen similar readings of 31–34°C with thunderstorms, and any clearing or model shifts in steering patterns could elevate odds for 33°C or higher. Traders are weighting the latest India Meteorological Department guidance and short-range model consensus ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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