Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional climate data indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Guangzhou on September 17, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate southerly flow, high humidity around 60-70%, and scattered cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight. Historical averages for the date hover near 24°C, while recent days have shown nighttime lows in the mid-20s amid stable patterns without strong frontal systems or typhoon influences. Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise low, as small variations in cloud thickness, wind speed, or localized rainfall could shift the overnight minimum by 1-2°C, keeping probabilities clustered around the 25-27°C range alongside tail risks for warmer or cooler outliers. New observational data and updated model runs overnight will likely refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 17?
20°C or below 74%
30°C or higher 74%
26°C 52%
27°C 42%
20°C or below
74%
21°C
13%
22°C
37%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
24%
26°C
35%
27°C
27%
28°C
15%
29°C
14%
30°C or higher
74%
20°C or below 74%
30°C or higher 74%
26°C 52%
27°C 42%
20°C or below
74%
21°C
13%
22°C
37%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
24%
26°C
35%
27°C
27%
28°C
15%
29°C
14%
30°C or higher
74%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional climate data indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Guangzhou on September 17, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate southerly flow, high humidity around 60-70%, and scattered cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight. Historical averages for the date hover near 24°C, while recent days have shown nighttime lows in the mid-20s amid stable patterns without strong frontal systems or typhoon influences. Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise low, as small variations in cloud thickness, wind speed, or localized rainfall could shift the overnight minimum by 1-2°C, keeping probabilities clustered around the 25-27°C range alongside tail risks for warmer or cooler outliers. New observational data and updated model runs overnight will likely refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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