Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature of 25–26°C in Guangzhou on September 16, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. Subtropical high pressure and light easterly winds under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers are expected to limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 24.2°C. Recent observations from September 14–15 showed similar nighttime minima near 25°C amid comparable humidity and cloud cover. No significant cold-air intrusions or typhoon influences appear in current guidance, though minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture could allow brief dips toward 24°C or slight upward revisions if clearing occurs earlier than anticipated.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 16?
30°C or higher 67%
20°C or below 63%
25°C 45%
26°C 42%
20°C or below
63%
21°C
13%
22°C
20%
23°C
20%
24°C
21%
25°C
45%
26°C
33%
27°C
22%
28°C
36%
29°C
34%
30°C or higher
67%
30°C or higher 67%
20°C or below 63%
25°C 45%
26°C 42%
20°C or below
63%
21°C
13%
22°C
20%
23°C
20%
24°C
21%
25°C
45%
26°C
33%
27°C
22%
28°C
36%
29°C
34%
30°C or higher
67%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature of 25–26°C in Guangzhou on September 16, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. Subtropical high pressure and light easterly winds under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers are expected to limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 24.2°C. Recent observations from September 14–15 showed similar nighttime minima near 25°C amid comparable humidity and cloud cover. No significant cold-air intrusions or typhoon influences appear in current guidance, though minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture could allow brief dips toward 24°C or slight upward revisions if clearing occurs earlier than anticipated.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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