Recent GFS and regional model consensus points to a daytime high near 23–24°C in Istanbul on September 17 under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and low precipitation chances, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C and 23°C. These values sit close to the September climatological normal of roughly 23°C maximum, with limited instability or warm advection expected to prevent significant departures. Minor model spread on cloud cover and timing of any brief showers creates the narrow implied-probability gap between 22°C and 23°C, while lower-probability outcomes above 24°C or below 21°C would require notable forecast revisions from official agencies before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 17?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 17?
22°C 50%
23°C 36%
21°C 8%
24°C 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 17, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
8%
22°C
50%
23°C
36%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
2%
22°C 50%
23°C 36%
21°C 8%
24°C 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 17, 2026
18°C or below
$161 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$184 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$336 Vol.
4%
21°C
$145 Vol.
8%
22°C
$393 Vol.
50%
23°C
$242 Vol.
36%
24°C
$283 Vol.
7%
25°C
$27 Vol.
2%
26°C
$42 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and regional model consensus points to a daytime high near 23–24°C in Istanbul on September 17 under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and low precipitation chances, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C and 23°C. These values sit close to the September climatological normal of roughly 23°C maximum, with limited instability or warm advection expected to prevent significant departures. Minor model spread on cloud cover and timing of any brief showers creates the narrow implied-probability gap between 22°C and 23°C, while lower-probability outcomes above 24°C or below 21°C would require notable forecast revisions from official agencies before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,813Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and regional model consensus points to a daytime high near 23–24°C in Istanbul on September 17 under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and low precipitation chances, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C and 23°C. These values sit close to the September climatological normal of roughly 23°C maximum, with limited instability or warm advection expected to prevent significant departures. Minor model spread on cloud cover and timing of any brief showers creates the narrow implied-probability gap between 22°C and 23°C, while lower-probability outcomes above 24°C or below 21°C would require notable forecast revisions from official agencies before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,813Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent GFS and regional model consensus points to a daytime high near 23–24°C in Istanbul on September 17 under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and low precipitation chances, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C and 23°C. These values sit close to the September climatological normal of roughly 23°C maximum, with limited instability or warm advection expected to prevent significant departures. Minor model spread on cloud cover and timing of any brief showers creates the narrow implied-probability gap between 22°C and 23°C, while lower-probability outcomes above 24°C or below 21°C would require notable forecast revisions from official agencies before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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