Current forecast consensus from agencies like the India Meteorological Department points to a nighttime low near 26°C in Lucknow on September 16, shaped by lingering monsoon moisture, extensive cloud cover, and light winds that limit radiative cooling overnight. Recent observations show minima running 1–2°C above the seasonal average amid elevated humidity levels near 80–90%, with scattered showers and thunderstorms expected to further moderate temperature drops. Trader sentiment remains closely split because small shifts in rainfall timing or model guidance on cloud persistence could push the actual low a degree or two either way, while historical September baselines for the region hover around 25–26°C. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 16?
20°C or below 85%
30°C or higher 50%
26°C 44%
22°C 39%
20°C or below
85%
21°C
14%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
23%
26°C
38%
27°C
29%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C or higher
50%
20°C or below 85%
30°C or higher 50%
26°C 44%
22°C 39%
20°C or below
85%
21°C
14%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
23%
26°C
38%
27°C
29%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C or higher
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from agencies like the India Meteorological Department points to a nighttime low near 26°C in Lucknow on September 16, shaped by lingering monsoon moisture, extensive cloud cover, and light winds that limit radiative cooling overnight. Recent observations show minima running 1–2°C above the seasonal average amid elevated humidity levels near 80–90%, with scattered showers and thunderstorms expected to further moderate temperature drops. Trader sentiment remains closely split because small shifts in rainfall timing or model guidance on cloud persistence could push the actual low a degree or two either way, while historical September baselines for the region hover around 25–26°C. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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