**Trader sentiment for Qingdao's September 17 lowest temperature is tightly balanced between 20°C (51.5% implied probability) and 19°C or below (46.0%), reflecting genuine uncertainty in the final minimum reading amid coastal moderation and late-day cooling.** Qingdao's seaside location on the Yellow Sea produces tempered diurnal ranges through marine air influence and southeast winds, which limit nighttime radiative cooling compared to inland sites. Official observations from stations like ZSQD airport and model consensus (including GFS and ECMWF runs) show daytime highs near 25–26°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions, with temperatures falling steadily after sunset. Hourly data indicate readings reaching the low 20s by evening and approaching or dipping to 19–20°C overnight, consistent with seasonal September baselines where minimums often settle near 19–22°C. The near-even split between the leading outcomes stems from small differences in exact timing, cloud cover, and humidity levels that affect how low the mercury falls before midnight or the next observation window. Coastal humidity near 70–80% and light winds slow cooling rates, while any clearer spells could allow a slightly deeper drop. Upcoming official minimum reports from meteorological agencies will resolve the market, with traders weighting real-time station data heavily given the day's advanced stage.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 17?
20°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$778 Vol.
$778 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$778 Vol.
$778 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
**Trader sentiment for Qingdao's September 17 lowest temperature is tightly balanced between 20°C (51.5% implied probability) and 19°C or below (46.0%), reflecting genuine uncertainty in the final minimum reading amid coastal moderation and late-day cooling.** Qingdao's seaside location on the Yellow Sea produces tempered diurnal ranges through marine air influence and southeast winds, which limit nighttime radiative cooling compared to inland sites. Official observations from stations like ZSQD airport and model consensus (including GFS and ECMWF runs) show daytime highs near 25–26°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions, with temperatures falling steadily after sunset. Hourly data indicate readings reaching the low 20s by evening and approaching or dipping to 19–20°C overnight, consistent with seasonal September baselines where minimums often settle near 19–22°C. The near-even split between the leading outcomes stems from small differences in exact timing, cloud cover, and humidity levels that affect how low the mercury falls before midnight or the next observation window. Coastal humidity near 70–80% and light winds slow cooling rates, while any clearer spells could allow a slightly deeper drop. Upcoming official minimum reports from meteorological agencies will resolve the market, with traders weighting real-time station data heavily given the day's advanced stage.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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