**Recent forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (CONAGUA) and global models point to a maximum of 24–26°C in Mexico City on September 6, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and possible thunderstorms limiting daytime heating.** At the city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters, afternoon convection during the peak of the rainy season typically caps temperatures well below clear-sky potential. Multiple model runs show peak readings clustered near 24°C under mostly overcast skies and moderate southerly winds, aligning with the market's heaviest positioning on 24°C (45.5%) and 25°C (30.5%). Cooler outcomes remain possible if rainfall arrives earlier or is heavier than expected, while 26°C or higher would require unexpectedly strong insolation. Updated official guidance and next model cycles will be key near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 6?
24°C 46%
25°C 31%
23°C 19%
26°C or higher 6%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
19%
24°C
46%
25°C
31%
26°C or higher
6%
24°C 46%
25°C 31%
23°C 19%
26°C or higher 6%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
19%
24°C
46%
25°C
31%
26°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (CONAGUA) and global models point to a maximum of 24–26°C in Mexico City on September 6, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and possible thunderstorms limiting daytime heating.** At the city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters, afternoon convection during the peak of the rainy season typically caps temperatures well below clear-sky potential. Multiple model runs show peak readings clustered near 24°C under mostly overcast skies and moderate southerly winds, aligning with the market's heaviest positioning on 24°C (45.5%) and 25°C (30.5%). Cooler outcomes remain possible if rainfall arrives earlier or is heavier than expected, while 26°C or higher would require unexpectedly strong insolation. Updated official guidance and next model cycles will be key near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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