Recent forecast guidance from sources including the BBC indicates a potential daily maximum near 31°C in Munich on June 18 under sunny skies and light easterly winds, supporting the market's leading 31°C outcome at 35.5% implied probability. Ensemble model spreads and subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing or cloud timing create tight clustering around 30–32°C, as modest variations in insolation or advection can shift the peak by 1–2°C. With climatological June highs typically ranging 22–26°C, this setup reflects transient high-pressure dominance enhancing diurnal warming ahead of any frontal passage. Updated model runs overnight and morning observations will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Munich on June 18?
31°C 36%
30°C 28%
32°C 18%
29°C 8.5%
$14,135 Vol.
$14,135 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
28%
31°C
36%
32°C
18%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 36%
30°C 28%
32°C 18%
29°C 8.5%
$14,135 Vol.
$14,135 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
28%
31°C
36%
32°C
18%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from sources including the BBC indicates a potential daily maximum near 31°C in Munich on June 18 under sunny skies and light easterly winds, supporting the market's leading 31°C outcome at 35.5% implied probability. Ensemble model spreads and subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing or cloud timing create tight clustering around 30–32°C, as modest variations in insolation or advection can shift the peak by 1–2°C. With climatological June highs typically ranging 22–26°C, this setup reflects transient high-pressure dominance enhancing diurnal warming ahead of any frontal passage. Updated model runs overnight and morning observations will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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