Recent forecasts from global models indicate Tel Aviv’s June 18 high will likely settle near the long-term June average of 29–30 °C, producing the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Clear skies and moderate northwesterly flow are expected, yet the strength and timing of the Mediterranean sea breeze remain the key variables: a stronger onshore breeze could cap readings at 29 °C by enhancing evaporative cooling, while lighter winds would allow greater daytime heating toward 30 °C. Ensemble spreads are small, with most guidance clustered within 1 °C, leaving little room for outliers above 31 °C or below 28 °C. Updated model runs and local observations through tomorrow morning will refine the final maximum before the market resolves.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 18?
30°C 44%
29°C 41%
28°C 7.1%
31°C 3.1%
$11,623 Vol.
$11,623 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
41%
30°C
44%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 44%
29°C 41%
28°C 7.1%
31°C 3.1%
$11,623 Vol.
$11,623 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
41%
30°C
44%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models indicate Tel Aviv’s June 18 high will likely settle near the long-term June average of 29–30 °C, producing the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Clear skies and moderate northwesterly flow are expected, yet the strength and timing of the Mediterranean sea breeze remain the key variables: a stronger onshore breeze could cap readings at 29 °C by enhancing evaporative cooling, while lighter winds would allow greater daytime heating toward 30 °C. Ensemble spreads are small, with most guidance clustered within 1 °C, leaving little room for outliers above 31 °C or below 28 °C. Updated model runs and local observations through tomorrow morning will refine the final maximum before the market resolves.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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