Current ensemble forecasts from regional models indicate a daily maximum near 23–24°C for Istanbul on June 18, driven by moderate northeasterly flow, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating under a stable air mass. This places the market-implied odds in close alignment with numerical guidance, where small differences in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any scattered showers can shift the peak by 1°C. Historical mid-June averages hover around 25°C, yet the current pattern shows slightly suppressed values relative to climatology. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, will refine the precise maximum and resolve whether 24°C or 23°C emerges as the modal outcome.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 18?
24°C 36%
23°C 33%
25°C 12%
22°C 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Jun 18, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
8%
23°C
33%
24°C
36%
25°C
12%
26°C
5%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 36%
23°C 33%
25°C 12%
22°C 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Jun 18, 2026
19°C or below
$145 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$150 Vol.
1%
21°C
$50 Vol.
1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
8%
23°C
$89 Vol.
33%
24°C
$258 Vol.
36%
25°C
$600 Vol.
12%
26°C
$116 Vol.
5%
27°C
$167 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$70 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$235 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from regional models indicate a daily maximum near 23–24°C for Istanbul on June 18, driven by moderate northeasterly flow, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating under a stable air mass. This places the market-implied odds in close alignment with numerical guidance, where small differences in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any scattered showers can shift the peak by 1°C. Historical mid-June averages hover around 25°C, yet the current pattern shows slightly suppressed values relative to climatology. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, will refine the precise maximum and resolve whether 24°C or 23°C emerges as the modal outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 16, 2026, 1:21 AM ET
Volume
$1,881Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 16, 2026, 1:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from regional models indicate a daily maximum near 23–24°C for Istanbul on June 18, driven by moderate northeasterly flow, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating under a stable air mass. This places the market-implied odds in close alignment with numerical guidance, where small differences in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any scattered showers can shift the peak by 1°C. Historical mid-June averages hover around 25°C, yet the current pattern shows slightly suppressed values relative to climatology. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, will refine the precise maximum and resolve whether 24°C or 23°C emerges as the modal outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,881Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 16, 2026, 1:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from regional models indicate a daily maximum near 23–24°C for Istanbul on June 18, driven by moderate northeasterly flow, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating under a stable air mass. This places the market-implied odds in close alignment with numerical guidance, where small differences in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any scattered showers can shift the peak by 1°C. Historical mid-June averages hover around 25°C, yet the current pattern shows slightly suppressed values relative to climatology. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, will refine the precise maximum and resolve whether 24°C or 23°C emerges as the modal outcome.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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