**Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models indicate rain and thunderstorms on June 16, limiting daytime heating and keeping maximum temperatures most likely in the 26–29 °C range.** Persistent cloud cover reduces incoming solar radiation, while showers promote evaporative cooling and suppress boundary-layer warming. Regional monsoon flow and any nearby trough or frontal activity further favor unsettled conditions over clear-sky radiative heating that would otherwise push readings toward seasonal June averages near 31 °C. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show tight clustering around this cooler, wetter scenario, with only modest upside risk if convection is delayed or lighter than expected. Traders are therefore weighting the 28 °C and 29 °C bins most heavily, reflecting the current model consensus and the narrow window for significant forecast shifts before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 16?
29°C 32%
28°C 28%
30°C 19%
27°C 15%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
15%
28°C
28%
29°C
32%
30°C
19%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 32%
28°C 28%
30°C 19%
27°C 15%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
15%
28°C
28%
29°C
32%
30°C
19%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models indicate rain and thunderstorms on June 16, limiting daytime heating and keeping maximum temperatures most likely in the 26–29 °C range.** Persistent cloud cover reduces incoming solar radiation, while showers promote evaporative cooling and suppress boundary-layer warming. Regional monsoon flow and any nearby trough or frontal activity further favor unsettled conditions over clear-sky radiative heating that would otherwise push readings toward seasonal June averages near 31 °C. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show tight clustering around this cooler, wetter scenario, with only modest upside risk if convection is delayed or lighter than expected. Traders are therefore weighting the 28 °C and 29 °C bins most heavily, reflecting the current model consensus and the narrow window for significant forecast shifts before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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