Forecast models from the National Weather Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts place Warsaw’s June 18 maximum near 23–25 °C, with the market’s 37.5 % probability on exactly 24 °C reflecting this narrow consensus. A weak northerly flow behind a passing trough is expected to cap daytime heating while scattered showers and increased cloud cover arrive during peak afternoon hours, reducing solar insolation. Minor differences among ensembles arise from the precise timing of precipitation onset and boundary-layer moisture; an earlier or heavier shower would favor 23 °C or lower, whereas delayed or lighter rain could allow brief clearing and a 25 °C reading. Historical June variability for the region shows daily highs commonly fluctuate by 2–3 °C around the seasonal mean of 22 °C, underscoring why the tightly bunched odds remain sensitive to the next 48-hour model updates.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 18?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 18?
24°C 38%
25°C 28%
23°C 16%
22°C 8.5%
BAGO
BAGO
Jun 18, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
9%
23°C
16%
24°C
38%
25°C
28%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 38%
25°C 28%
23°C 16%
22°C 8.5%
BAGO
BAGO
Jun 18, 2026
19°C or below
$250 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$314 Vol.
1%
22°C
$504 Vol.
9%
23°C
$809 Vol.
16%
24°C
$510 Vol.
38%
25°C
$474 Vol.
28%
26°C
$428 Vol.
7%
27°C
$367 Vol.
2%
28°C
$665 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$804 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts place Warsaw’s June 18 maximum near 23–25 °C, with the market’s 37.5 % probability on exactly 24 °C reflecting this narrow consensus. A weak northerly flow behind a passing trough is expected to cap daytime heating while scattered showers and increased cloud cover arrive during peak afternoon hours, reducing solar insolation. Minor differences among ensembles arise from the precise timing of precipitation onset and boundary-layer moisture; an earlier or heavier shower would favor 23 °C or lower, whereas delayed or lighter rain could allow brief clearing and a 25 °C reading. Historical June variability for the region shows daily highs commonly fluctuate by 2–3 °C around the seasonal mean of 22 °C, underscoring why the tightly bunched odds remain sensitive to the next 48-hour model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ET
Volume
$5,319Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts place Warsaw’s June 18 maximum near 23–25 °C, with the market’s 37.5 % probability on exactly 24 °C reflecting this narrow consensus. A weak northerly flow behind a passing trough is expected to cap daytime heating while scattered showers and increased cloud cover arrive during peak afternoon hours, reducing solar insolation. Minor differences among ensembles arise from the precise timing of precipitation onset and boundary-layer moisture; an earlier or heavier shower would favor 23 °C or lower, whereas delayed or lighter rain could allow brief clearing and a 25 °C reading. Historical June variability for the region shows daily highs commonly fluctuate by 2–3 °C around the seasonal mean of 22 °C, underscoring why the tightly bunched odds remain sensitive to the next 48-hour model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,319Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts place Warsaw’s June 18 maximum near 23–25 °C, with the market’s 37.5 % probability on exactly 24 °C reflecting this narrow consensus. A weak northerly flow behind a passing trough is expected to cap daytime heating while scattered showers and increased cloud cover arrive during peak afternoon hours, reducing solar insolation. Minor differences among ensembles arise from the precise timing of precipitation onset and boundary-layer moisture; an earlier or heavier shower would favor 23 °C or lower, whereas delayed or lighter rain could allow brief clearing and a 25 °C reading. Historical June variability for the region shows daily highs commonly fluctuate by 2–3 °C around the seasonal mean of 22 °C, underscoring why the tightly bunched odds remain sensitive to the next 48-hour model updates.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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