Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Moscow daytime highs on June 18 stabilizing near 16–17 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, isolated showers, and a cooler northerly airflow that has suppressed daytime warming compared with mid-June climatology of 20–22 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to the timing and intensity of any convective activity, keeping the precise peak uncertain within a narrow 2–3 °C window. Traders weight the 16 °C outcome highest because the latest model runs cluster there, with nearby 15 °C and 17 °C bins reflecting residual variability in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Moscow on June 18?
16°C 32%
17°C 25%
15°C 25%
14°C 10%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
10%
15°C
25%
16°C
32%
17°C
25%
18°C
5%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 32%
17°C 25%
15°C 25%
14°C 10%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
10%
15°C
25%
16°C
32%
17°C
25%
18°C
5%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 16, 2026, 1:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Moscow daytime highs on June 18 stabilizing near 16–17 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, isolated showers, and a cooler northerly airflow that has suppressed daytime warming compared with mid-June climatology of 20–22 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to the timing and intensity of any convective activity, keeping the precise peak uncertain within a narrow 2–3 °C window. Traders weight the 16 °C outcome highest because the latest model runs cluster there, with nearby 15 °C and 17 °C bins reflecting residual variability in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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