Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecasts from models including GFS point to a daily maximum near 25°C in Zhengzhou under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. Stable atmospheric conditions and moderate humidity have limited daytime heating, aligning with mid-September climatology for the region. Trader consensus at 96% implied probability for 25°C reflects integration of live station data and short-range model agreement, with minimal dispersion across guidance. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing that boosts insolation enough to push readings to 26–27°C, though current trends and timing make this unlikely before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 17?
25°C 99%
26°C 3%
27°C 1.6%
29°C <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
99%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99%
26°C 3%
27°C 1.6%
29°C <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
99%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecasts from models including GFS point to a daily maximum near 25°C in Zhengzhou under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. Stable atmospheric conditions and moderate humidity have limited daytime heating, aligning with mid-September climatology for the region. Trader consensus at 96% implied probability for 25°C reflects integration of live station data and short-range model agreement, with minimal dispersion across guidance. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing that boosts insolation enough to push readings to 26–27°C, though current trends and timing make this unlikely before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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