Yashar, led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, holds a narrow edge in trader consensus at 59% implied probability for entering government after the October 27 Knesset election, driven by its consistent positioning as the single largest party in most recent polls. Surveys from late September show Yashar averaging around 22-23 seats, often ahead of Likud, while both the Netanyahu-aligned right-religious bloc and the Zionist opposition bloc hover near or below 52-54 seats each. Eisenkot's party has released targeted platforms on youth costs, military pay, and housing, strengthening its appeal among younger voters and bolstering its role in potential coalition talks. Netanyahu's Likud has shown resilience in select polls and bloc projections, yet faces internal list disputes and questions over coalition partners like the Haredi parties. With blocs fragmented and no clear majority path without smaller lists or cross-aisle deals, the outcome hinges on final voter turnout and post-election negotiations.