The Reservists–New Economic Party alliance, formed in early September 2026 after Yoaz Hendel’s Reservists split from a prior pact and joined Yaron Zelekha’s list, continues to poll near Israel’s 3.25% electoral threshold ahead of the October 27 Knesset vote. Recent surveys from mid-September show inconsistent results, with the joint list often landing between roughly 2% and 4% depending on the pollster, reflecting fragmented support among reservists whose votes remain split across larger centrist and right-leaning parties. Key factors sustaining the tight market include the alliance’s limited time to consolidate messaging on universal military service, cost-of-living reforms, and post-October 7 accountability, alongside variable turnout among its core constituencies. A High Court ruling earlier in September restricting real-time voter reporting at polling stations has further complicated small-party mobilization efforts. These dynamics keep probabilities clustered around the 2.75–3.25% range while leaving room for modest shifts from late campaign events or turnout surges.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update<2.75% 44%
2.75-3.25% 30%
4.25%+ 18%
3.25-3.75% 16%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 30, 2026
<2.75%
47%
2.75-3.25%
30%
3.25-3.75%
16%
3.75-4.25%
15%
4.25%+
11%
<2.75% 44%
2.75-3.25% 30%
4.25%+ 18%
3.25-3.75% 16%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 30, 2026
<2.75%
$142 Vol.
47%
2.75-3.25%
$76 Vol.
30%
3.25-3.75%
$56 Vol.
16%
3.75-4.25%
$46 Vol.
15%
4.25%+
$89 Vol.
11%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).The Reservists–New Economic Party alliance, formed in early September 2026 after Yoaz Hendel’s Reservists split from a prior pact and joined Yaron Zelekha’s list, continues to poll near Israel’s 3.25% electoral threshold ahead of the October 27 Knesset vote. Recent surveys from mid-September show inconsistent results, with the joint list often landing between roughly 2% and 4% depending on the pollster, reflecting fragmented support among reservists whose votes remain split across larger centrist and right-leaning parties. Key factors sustaining the tight market include the alliance’s limited time to consolidate messaging on universal military service, cost-of-living reforms, and post-October 7 accountability, alongside variable turnout among its core constituencies. A High Court ruling earlier in September restricting real-time voter reporting at polling stations has further complicated small-party mobilization efforts. These dynamics keep probabilities clustered around the 2.75–3.25% range while leaving room for modest shifts from late campaign events or turnout surges.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 9, 2026, 5:21 PM ET
Volume
$408Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 27, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 9, 2026, 5:21 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).The Reservists–New Economic Party alliance, formed in early September 2026 after Yoaz Hendel’s Reservists split from a prior pact and joined Yaron Zelekha’s list, continues to poll near Israel’s 3.25% electoral threshold ahead of the October 27 Knesset vote. Recent surveys from mid-September show inconsistent results, with the joint list often landing between roughly 2% and 4% depending on the pollster, reflecting fragmented support among reservists whose votes remain split across larger centrist and right-leaning parties. Key factors sustaining the tight market include the alliance’s limited time to consolidate messaging on universal military service, cost-of-living reforms, and post-October 7 accountability, alongside variable turnout among its core constituencies. A High Court ruling earlier in September restricting real-time voter reporting at polling stations has further complicated small-party mobilization efforts. These dynamics keep probabilities clustered around the 2.75–3.25% range while leaving room for modest shifts from late campaign events or turnout surges.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$408Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 27, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 9, 2026, 5:21 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Reservists–New Economic Party alliance, formed in early September 2026 after Yoaz Hendel’s Reservists split from a prior pact and joined Yaron Zelekha’s list, continues to poll near Israel’s 3.25% electoral threshold ahead of the October 27 Knesset vote. Recent surveys from mid-September show inconsistent results, with the joint list often landing between roughly 2% and 4% depending on the pollster, reflecting fragmented support among reservists whose votes remain split across larger centrist and right-leaning parties. Key factors sustaining the tight market include the alliance’s limited time to consolidate messaging on universal military service, cost-of-living reforms, and post-October 7 accountability, alongside variable turnout among its core constituencies. A High Court ruling earlier in September restricting real-time voter reporting at polling stations has further complicated small-party mobilization efforts. These dynamics keep probabilities clustered around the 2.75–3.25% range while leaving room for modest shifts from late campaign events or turnout surges.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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