Current forecasts from the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models project a minimum temperature of 16–17°C in Ankara on September 5 under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and negligible precipitation. This aligns with early-September climatology, where average lows hover near 14–15°C, though recent model runs show minor variability in overnight radiative cooling under stable high pressure. Trader emphasis on the 13°C-or-below outcome at 47.5% implied probability likely reflects hedging against forecast uncertainty or potential sharper cooling, while mid-teens probabilities cluster around consensus guidance from NOAA and European ensembles. Updated model runs and official daily bulletins expected in the next 48 hours will provide the primary near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Ankara on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 5?
23°C or higher 59%
13°C or below 51%
17°C 47%
19°C 47%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 5, 2026
13°C or below
51%
14°C
28%
15°C
29%
16°C
26%
17°C
47%
18°C
2%
19°C
47%
20°C
47%
21°C
8%
22°C
8%
23°C or higher
59%
23°C or higher 59%
13°C or below 51%
17°C 47%
19°C 47%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 5, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Vol.
51%
14°C
$0 Vol.
28%
15°C
$0 Vol.
29%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
47%
18°C
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
47%
20°C
$0 Vol.
47%
21°C
$0 Vol.
8%
22°C
$0 Vol.
8%
23°C or higher
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models project a minimum temperature of 16–17°C in Ankara on September 5 under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and negligible precipitation. This aligns with early-September climatology, where average lows hover near 14–15°C, though recent model runs show minor variability in overnight radiative cooling under stable high pressure. Trader emphasis on the 13°C-or-below outcome at 47.5% implied probability likely reflects hedging against forecast uncertainty or potential sharper cooling, while mid-teens probabilities cluster around consensus guidance from NOAA and European ensembles. Updated model runs and official daily bulletins expected in the next 48 hours will provide the primary near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models project a minimum temperature of 16–17°C in Ankara on September 5 under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and negligible precipitation. This aligns with early-September climatology, where average lows hover near 14–15°C, though recent model runs show minor variability in overnight radiative cooling under stable high pressure. Trader emphasis on the 13°C-or-below outcome at 47.5% implied probability likely reflects hedging against forecast uncertainty or potential sharper cooling, while mid-teens probabilities cluster around consensus guidance from NOAA and European ensembles. Updated model runs and official daily bulletins expected in the next 48 hours will provide the primary near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models project a minimum temperature of 16–17°C in Ankara on September 5 under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and negligible precipitation. This aligns with early-September climatology, where average lows hover near 14–15°C, though recent model runs show minor variability in overnight radiative cooling under stable high pressure. Trader emphasis on the 13°C-or-below outcome at 47.5% implied probability likely reflects hedging against forecast uncertainty or potential sharper cooling, while mid-teens probabilities cluster around consensus guidance from NOAA and European ensembles. Updated model runs and official daily bulletins expected in the next 48 hours will provide the primary near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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