**Trader sentiment for Chengdu's lowest temperature on August 28, 2026, centers on 25–26°C as the leading outcomes (58% and 38% implied probabilities), reflecting consensus around typical late-summer overnight lows under cloudy, rainy conditions.** Chengdu's subtropical monsoon climate features high humidity and frequent convective activity in August, with recent thunderstorms and widespread rain on August 27–28 promoting cloud cover that moderates nighttime radiative cooling. Official and model forecasts indicate an overnight low in the mid-20s °C range, consistent with historical August minima near 23–25°C when precipitation occurs. Light winds and elevated dew points near 24–25°C further support this band, limiting sharp drops. Model consensus and recent observational trends favor 25–26°C over cooler projections (e.g., 21–23°C in some runs), as persistent cloudiness and moisture suppress extreme cooling. Upcoming resolution will depend on the official station reading, with any late-day clearing or model revisions as key variables that could shift probabilities within the narrow 24–26°C cluster.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 28?
26°C 57%
25°C 38%
24°C 38%
23°C 37%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
37%
24°C
38%
25°C
38%
26°C
57%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
26°C 57%
25°C 38%
24°C 38%
23°C 37%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
37%
24°C
38%
25°C
38%
26°C
57%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Chengdu's lowest temperature on August 28, 2026, centers on 25–26°C as the leading outcomes (58% and 38% implied probabilities), reflecting consensus around typical late-summer overnight lows under cloudy, rainy conditions.** Chengdu's subtropical monsoon climate features high humidity and frequent convective activity in August, with recent thunderstorms and widespread rain on August 27–28 promoting cloud cover that moderates nighttime radiative cooling. Official and model forecasts indicate an overnight low in the mid-20s °C range, consistent with historical August minima near 23–25°C when precipitation occurs. Light winds and elevated dew points near 24–25°C further support this band, limiting sharp drops. Model consensus and recent observational trends favor 25–26°C over cooler projections (e.g., 21–23°C in some runs), as persistent cloudiness and moisture suppress extreme cooling. Upcoming resolution will depend on the official station reading, with any late-day clearing or model revisions as key variables that could shift probabilities within the narrow 24–26°C cluster.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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