Recent forecasts from models and agencies including AEMET, Met Office, and Yr.no point to a high of 31–32°C on August 30 under clear skies and a stable anticyclone, following the polar air intrusion that produced Madrid’s coldest August day of the 21st century (21°C maximum on the 28th). Daytime heating will strengthen with light southwesterly winds and low humidity, but the rebound from subnormal temperatures and typical late-August climatology (average high near 30°C) keep extremes unlikely. Market-implied odds favor 32–34°C because these values align closely with current consensus runs and the narrow window before cooler maritime influences return.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Madrid on August 30?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 30?
33°C 62%
34°C 19%
32°C 18%
31°C 2%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
18%
33°C
62%
34°C
19%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 62%
34°C 19%
32°C 18%
31°C 2%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
$321 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$180 Vol.
1%
30°C
$107 Vol.
1%
31°C
$140 Vol.
2%
32°C
$487 Vol.
18%
33°C
$697 Vol.
62%
34°C
$1,489 Vol.
19%
35°C
$286 Vol.
2%
36°C
$92 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$70 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$120 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and agencies including AEMET, Met Office, and Yr.no point to a high of 31–32°C on August 30 under clear skies and a stable anticyclone, following the polar air intrusion that produced Madrid’s coldest August day of the 21st century (21°C maximum on the 28th). Daytime heating will strengthen with light southwesterly winds and low humidity, but the rebound from subnormal temperatures and typical late-August climatology (average high near 30°C) keep extremes unlikely. Market-implied odds favor 32–34°C because these values align closely with current consensus runs and the narrow window before cooler maritime influences return.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$3,988Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and agencies including AEMET, Met Office, and Yr.no point to a high of 31–32°C on August 30 under clear skies and a stable anticyclone, following the polar air intrusion that produced Madrid’s coldest August day of the 21st century (21°C maximum on the 28th). Daytime heating will strengthen with light southwesterly winds and low humidity, but the rebound from subnormal temperatures and typical late-August climatology (average high near 30°C) keep extremes unlikely. Market-implied odds favor 32–34°C because these values align closely with current consensus runs and the narrow window before cooler maritime influences return.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,988Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models and agencies including AEMET, Met Office, and Yr.no point to a high of 31–32°C on August 30 under clear skies and a stable anticyclone, following the polar air intrusion that produced Madrid’s coldest August day of the 21st century (21°C maximum on the 28th). Daytime heating will strengthen with light southwesterly winds and low humidity, but the rebound from subnormal temperatures and typical late-August climatology (average high near 30°C) keep extremes unlikely. Market-implied odds favor 32–34°C because these values align closely with current consensus runs and the narrow window before cooler maritime influences return.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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