Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a sunny to partly cloudy September 5 in Chengdu with nighttime lows near 23–24 °C under clear skies and light winds, consistent with early-autumn radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin. Trader consensus nevertheless assigns the highest implied probability (40 %) to 18 °C or below, reflecting uncertainty over the exact timing of an approaching frontal system that could increase cloud cover or bring earlier moisture and slightly cooler air masses than currently modeled. Historical September minima in the city average around 20–22 °C, so resolution hinges on the final overnight minimum reported by official stations; updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus local bureau guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the spread between the closely matched 23 °C and sub-19 °C outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 5?
18°C or below 92%
19°C 49%
20°C 49%
24°C 48%
18°C or below
92%
19°C
49%
20°C
49%
21°C
26%
22°C
28%
23°C
29%
24°C
48%
25°C
48%
26°C
48%
27°C
48%
28°C or higher
2%
18°C or below 92%
19°C 49%
20°C 49%
24°C 48%
18°C or below
92%
19°C
49%
20°C
49%
21°C
26%
22°C
28%
23°C
29%
24°C
48%
25°C
48%
26°C
48%
27°C
48%
28°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a sunny to partly cloudy September 5 in Chengdu with nighttime lows near 23–24 °C under clear skies and light winds, consistent with early-autumn radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin. Trader consensus nevertheless assigns the highest implied probability (40 %) to 18 °C or below, reflecting uncertainty over the exact timing of an approaching frontal system that could increase cloud cover or bring earlier moisture and slightly cooler air masses than currently modeled. Historical September minima in the city average around 20–22 °C, so resolution hinges on the final overnight minimum reported by official stations; updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus local bureau guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the spread between the closely matched 23 °C and sub-19 °C outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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