Persistent hot, dry conditions under southerly flow and clear skies are sustaining elevated overnight lows across North Texas, with National Weather Service and private forecasts converging on a September 9 minimum near 80–83 °F in Dallas. This range aligns with the market’s tight clustering around the 80–85 °F bins, reflecting model consensus on minimal radiational cooling and dew points remaining in the upper 60s to low 70s. Historical September 9 averages near 73 °F underscore the anomalous warmth driven by the ongoing late-summer ridge. Traders appear to assign roughly equal weight to slight forecast variations that could nudge the low a degree or two in either direction, while the 24 % probability on 90 °F or higher captures residual model spread or an unexpected warming signal. Updated NWS and mesoscale model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Dallas on September 9?
82-83°F 50%
80-81°F 49%
90°F or higher 48%
84-85°F 45%
71°F or below
41%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
50%
84-85°F
45%
86-87°F
29%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
48%
82-83°F 50%
80-81°F 49%
90°F or higher 48%
84-85°F 45%
71°F or below
41%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
50%
84-85°F
45%
86-87°F
29%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent hot, dry conditions under southerly flow and clear skies are sustaining elevated overnight lows across North Texas, with National Weather Service and private forecasts converging on a September 9 minimum near 80–83 °F in Dallas. This range aligns with the market’s tight clustering around the 80–85 °F bins, reflecting model consensus on minimal radiational cooling and dew points remaining in the upper 60s to low 70s. Historical September 9 averages near 73 °F underscore the anomalous warmth driven by the ongoing late-summer ridge. Traders appear to assign roughly equal weight to slight forecast variations that could nudge the low a degree or two in either direction, while the 24 % probability on 90 °F or higher captures residual model spread or an unexpected warming signal. Updated NWS and mesoscale model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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