**Forecast models from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute, ECMWF, and GFS show the overnight minimum on August 29 clustered between roughly 14–16 °C under southeasterly flow and mostly cloudy skies.** This range aligns with the tightly bunched market prices around 12–15 °C. Limited radiative cooling from persistent cloud cover and mild maritime air keeps temperatures from dropping sharply, while small differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing across model runs create the observed spread. Historical August minima in Helsinki average near 13 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal. The next high-resolution model updates and official FMI overnight observations will be the key catalysts that could shift probabilities among the leading outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Helsinki on August 29?
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
14°C 27%
11°C 26%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
14°C 27%
11°C 26%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute, ECMWF, and GFS show the overnight minimum on August 29 clustered between roughly 14–16 °C under southeasterly flow and mostly cloudy skies.** This range aligns with the tightly bunched market prices around 12–15 °C. Limited radiative cooling from persistent cloud cover and mild maritime air keeps temperatures from dropping sharply, while small differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing across model runs create the observed spread. Historical August minima in Helsinki average near 13 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal. The next high-resolution model updates and official FMI overnight observations will be the key catalysts that could shift probabilities among the leading outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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