Trader consensus favors 26–27°C as Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on September 7, reflecting Hong Kong Observatory guidance of 26–31°C overnight under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Light winds and a broad cloud band over southern China are suppressing radiative cooling, while sea-surface temperatures near 26°C set a firm floor consistent with early-September climatology. The approaching northeast monsoon is expected to freshen winds only after midweek, leaving minimal influence on this date. Model consensus shows low variability in minimums, producing closely matched implied probabilities across adjacent bins; any shift in cloud cover or timing of clearer skies could alter the exact low before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 7?
27°C 39%
26°C 38%
22°C or below 32%
24°C 24%
22°C or below
32%
23°C
22%
24°C
24%
25°C
9%
26°C
38%
27°C
39%
28°C
14%
29°C
19%
30°C
19%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
14%
27°C 39%
26°C 38%
22°C or below 32%
24°C 24%
22°C or below
32%
23°C
22%
24°C
24%
25°C
9%
26°C
38%
27°C
39%
28°C
14%
29°C
19%
30°C
19%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 26–27°C as Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on September 7, reflecting Hong Kong Observatory guidance of 26–31°C overnight under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Light winds and a broad cloud band over southern China are suppressing radiative cooling, while sea-surface temperatures near 26°C set a firm floor consistent with early-September climatology. The approaching northeast monsoon is expected to freshen winds only after midweek, leaving minimal influence on this date. Model consensus shows low variability in minimums, producing closely matched implied probabilities across adjacent bins; any shift in cloud cover or timing of clearer skies could alter the exact low before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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