Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum temperature near 17–18°C overnight into June 18 across London, with ensemble spreads favoring values clustered around 16–17°C. Clearer skies and lighter winds under building high pressure allow greater nocturnal radiative cooling than in recent days, while the urban heat-island effect and proximity to the Thames moderate extremes. Model consensus from the UKMO and ECMWF shows limited disagreement on boundary-layer conditions, keeping the 16°C and 17°C outcomes closely matched as traders weigh small differences in dew-point forecasts and cloud timing. Updated runs tomorrow morning will likely tighten probabilities ahead of the market’s resolution on official observations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in London on June 18?
17°C 45%
16°C 40%
18°C 8.1%
15°C 4.3%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
4%
16°C
40%
17°C
45%
18°C
8%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 45%
16°C 40%
18°C 8.1%
15°C 4.3%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
4%
16°C
40%
17°C
45%
18°C
8%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum temperature near 17–18°C overnight into June 18 across London, with ensemble spreads favoring values clustered around 16–17°C. Clearer skies and lighter winds under building high pressure allow greater nocturnal radiative cooling than in recent days, while the urban heat-island effect and proximity to the Thames moderate extremes. Model consensus from the UKMO and ECMWF shows limited disagreement on boundary-layer conditions, keeping the 16°C and 17°C outcomes closely matched as traders weigh small differences in dew-point forecasts and cloud timing. Updated runs tomorrow morning will likely tighten probabilities ahead of the market’s resolution on official observations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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