**Trader consensus strongly favors 64-65°F (94.0% implied probability) as the lowest temperature recorded in Los Angeles on September 2, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service observations and forecasts at primary stations such as Los Angeles International Airport (LAX).** Official NWS climatological reports show a minimum near 64°F at LAX under clear to mostly clear conditions with a moderate marine layer and light southwest winds, consistent with the 1991–2020 average low of ~64.7°F for the date. Downtown Los Angeles recorded a slightly cooler 61°F minimum, but market resolution criteria and historical analogs emphasize the coastal airport station where marine influence typically prevents deeper cooling. No anomalous offshore flow, strong radiational cooling, or cold-air advection occurred to depress temperatures below the mid-60s. This positioning reflects stable model consensus from NOAA/NWS guidance in the 48 hours prior, with no significant forecast shifts. Scenarios that could have challenged the outcome include an unexpected strengthening of the marine layer inversion or clear-sky radiational cooling under lighter winds, potentially dropping readings into the upper 50s at inland or downtown sites, though atmospheric conditions remained neutral and typical for early September.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 2?
54-55°F 99%
53°F or below 97%
64-65°F 94%
60-61°F 72%
$347 Vol.
$347 Vol.
53°F or below
97%
54-55°F
99%
56-57°F
34%
58-59°F
25%
60-61°F
72%
62-63°F
44%
64-65°F
94%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72°F or higher
<1%
54-55°F 99%
53°F or below 97%
64-65°F 94%
60-61°F 72%
$347 Vol.
$347 Vol.
53°F or below
97%
54-55°F
99%
56-57°F
34%
58-59°F
25%
60-61°F
72%
62-63°F
44%
64-65°F
94%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors 64-65°F (94.0% implied probability) as the lowest temperature recorded in Los Angeles on September 2, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service observations and forecasts at primary stations such as Los Angeles International Airport (LAX).** Official NWS climatological reports show a minimum near 64°F at LAX under clear to mostly clear conditions with a moderate marine layer and light southwest winds, consistent with the 1991–2020 average low of ~64.7°F for the date. Downtown Los Angeles recorded a slightly cooler 61°F minimum, but market resolution criteria and historical analogs emphasize the coastal airport station where marine influence typically prevents deeper cooling. No anomalous offshore flow, strong radiational cooling, or cold-air advection occurred to depress temperatures below the mid-60s. This positioning reflects stable model consensus from NOAA/NWS guidance in the 48 hours prior, with no significant forecast shifts. Scenarios that could have challenged the outcome include an unexpected strengthening of the marine layer inversion or clear-sky radiational cooling under lighter winds, potentially dropping readings into the upper 50s at inland or downtown sites, though atmospheric conditions remained neutral and typical for early September.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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