Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and regional forecasts shows Madrid's August 27 low likely falling between 16–19 °C, driven by increased cloud cover, light precipitation chances, and moderating southwesterly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer prior nights. This aligns with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17 °C and 18 °C, while higher outcomes like 21 °C reflect scenarios of less cloud retention or stronger warm advection. Historical averages near 18.4 °C provide context, but the short-term shift in synoptic patterns creates the key uncertainty traders are pricing. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Madrid on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 27?
21°C 55%
23°C or higher 50%
20°C 48%
15°C 46%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 27, 2026
13°C or below
16%
14°C
19%
15°C
46%
16°C
20%
17°C
31%
18°C
34%
19°C
26%
20°C
48%
21°C
55%
22°C
8%
23°C or higher
50%
21°C 55%
23°C or higher 50%
20°C 48%
15°C 46%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 27, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Vol.
16%
14°C
$0 Vol.
19%
15°C
$0 Vol.
46%
16°C
$0 Vol.
20%
17°C
$0 Vol.
31%
18°C
$0 Vol.
34%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$0 Vol.
48%
21°C
$0 Vol.
55%
22°C
$0 Vol.
8%
23°C or higher
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and regional forecasts shows Madrid's August 27 low likely falling between 16–19 °C, driven by increased cloud cover, light precipitation chances, and moderating southwesterly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer prior nights. This aligns with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17 °C and 18 °C, while higher outcomes like 21 °C reflect scenarios of less cloud retention or stronger warm advection. Historical averages near 18.4 °C provide context, but the short-term shift in synoptic patterns creates the key uncertainty traders are pricing. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 27, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and regional forecasts shows Madrid's August 27 low likely falling between 16–19 °C, driven by increased cloud cover, light precipitation chances, and moderating southwesterly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer prior nights. This aligns with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17 °C and 18 °C, while higher outcomes like 21 °C reflect scenarios of less cloud retention or stronger warm advection. Historical averages near 18.4 °C provide context, but the short-term shift in synoptic patterns creates the key uncertainty traders are pricing. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 27, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and regional forecasts shows Madrid's August 27 low likely falling between 16–19 °C, driven by increased cloud cover, light precipitation chances, and moderating southwesterly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer prior nights. This aligns with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17 °C and 18 °C, while higher outcomes like 21 °C reflect scenarios of less cloud retention or stronger warm advection. Historical averages near 18.4 °C provide context, but the short-term shift in synoptic patterns creates the key uncertainty traders are pricing. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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