Current ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF runs show Milan under a stable high-pressure system with light winds, supporting overnight minimum temperatures around 22–23°C on September 5 amid an ongoing warm anomaly well above the 14–16°C historical September average. Trader consensus splits probabilities across 15°C-or-below and 25°C-or-higher bins because short-range model guidance can still shift with new data on boundary-layer mixing or subtle advection changes, while the 18–24°C outcomes reflect the narrow expected range. Upcoming 00z and 12z model updates will likely tighten implied odds as the event approaches.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Milan on September 5?
25°C or higher 68%
15°C or below 67%
22°C 47%
18°C 32%
15°C or below
67%
16°C
31%
17°C
27%
18°C
32%
19°C
31%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
47%
23°C
2%
24°C
29%
25°C or higher
68%
25°C or higher 68%
15°C or below 67%
22°C 47%
18°C 32%
15°C or below
67%
16°C
31%
17°C
27%
18°C
32%
19°C
31%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
47%
23°C
2%
24°C
29%
25°C or higher
68%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF runs show Milan under a stable high-pressure system with light winds, supporting overnight minimum temperatures around 22–23°C on September 5 amid an ongoing warm anomaly well above the 14–16°C historical September average. Trader consensus splits probabilities across 15°C-or-below and 25°C-or-higher bins because short-range model guidance can still shift with new data on boundary-layer mixing or subtle advection changes, while the 18–24°C outcomes reflect the narrow expected range. Upcoming 00z and 12z model updates will likely tighten implied odds as the event approaches.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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