Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a mild overnight minimum in New York City driven by persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, keeping the low well above the June climatological average of 62–67°F. This has anchored the strongest market-implied probability at 74–75°F, with adjacent bins capturing remaining spread from ensemble members that differ on boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention. No significant cold-air intrusion or clear-sky radiative event has materialized in the past 48 hours to alter the trajectory, though final resolution hinges on official observations at primary stations such as LaGuardia.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in NYC on June 14?
74-75°F 38%
70-71°F 33%
76-77°F 30.5%
68-69°F 15%
$10,151 Vol.
$10,151 Vol.
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
21%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
38%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 38%
70-71°F 33%
76-77°F 30.5%
68-69°F 15%
$10,151 Vol.
$10,151 Vol.
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
21%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
38%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a mild overnight minimum in New York City driven by persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, keeping the low well above the June climatological average of 62–67°F. This has anchored the strongest market-implied probability at 74–75°F, with adjacent bins capturing remaining spread from ensemble members that differ on boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention. No significant cold-air intrusion or clear-sky radiative event has materialized in the past 48 hours to alter the trajectory, though final resolution hinges on official observations at primary stations such as LaGuardia.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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