**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, point to a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean with light winds and minimal cloud cover, producing overnight radiative cooling that supports a minimum near 23–25°C for Tel Aviv on September 23.** This places the expected low firmly between the market’s leading tail outcomes of 19°C or below and 29°C or higher, both near 49–50% implied probability. Key differentiators include subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze timing from the Mediterranean (currently ~26–27°C surface water), and any late-night wind shift that could limit cooling to the mid-20s or allow brief radiative drops toward 22°C. Recent days have shown similar 23–25°C minima under comparable subsidence, with no major synoptic change expected before Wednesday night. Updated 00Z and 12Z model guidance plus official Israel Meteorological Service briefings will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 23?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 23?
19°C or below 99%
29°C or higher 98%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 23, 2026
19°C or below
99%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
21%
24°C
21%
25°C
20%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C or higher
98%
19°C or below 99%
29°C or higher 98%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 23, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
99%
20°C
$0 Vol.
39%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
21%
24°C
$0 Vol.
21%
25°C
$0 Vol.
20%
26°C
$0 Vol.
39%
27°C
$0 Vol.
39%
28°C
$0 Vol.
39%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, point to a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean with light winds and minimal cloud cover, producing overnight radiative cooling that supports a minimum near 23–25°C for Tel Aviv on September 23.**
This places the expected low firmly between the market’s leading tail outcomes of 19°C or below and 29°C or higher, both near 49–50% implied probability. Key differentiators include subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze timing from the Mediterranean (currently ~26–27°C surface water), and any late-night wind shift that could limit cooling to the mid-20s or allow brief radiative drops toward 22°C. Recent days have shown similar 23–25°C minima under comparable subsidence, with no major synoptic change expected before Wednesday night. Updated 00Z and 12Z model guidance plus official Israel Meteorological Service briefings will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 23, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, point to a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean with light winds and minimal cloud cover, producing overnight radiative cooling that supports a minimum near 23–25°C for Tel Aviv on September 23.**
This places the expected low firmly between the market’s leading tail outcomes of 19°C or below and 29°C or higher, both near 49–50% implied probability. Key differentiators include subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze timing from the Mediterranean (currently ~26–27°C surface water), and any late-night wind shift that could limit cooling to the mid-20s or allow brief radiative drops toward 22°C. Recent days have shown similar 23–25°C minima under comparable subsidence, with no major synoptic change expected before Wednesday night. Updated 00Z and 12Z model guidance plus official Israel Meteorological Service briefings will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 23, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, point to a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean with light winds and minimal cloud cover, producing overnight radiative cooling that supports a minimum near 23–25°C for Tel Aviv on September 23.** This places the expected low firmly between the market’s leading tail outcomes of 19°C or below and 29°C or higher, both near 49–50% implied probability. Key differentiators include subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze timing from the Mediterranean (currently ~26–27°C surface water), and any late-night wind shift that could limit cooling to the mid-20s or allow brief radiative drops toward 22°C. Recent days have shown similar 23–25°C minima under comparable subsidence, with no major synoptic change expected before Wednesday night. Updated 00Z and 12Z model guidance plus official Israel Meteorological Service briefings will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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