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Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner

icon for Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Nirav Shah 41%

Troy Jackson 26%

Hannah Pingree 17%

Shenna Bellows 9.7%

Polymarket

$55,520 Vol.

Nirav Shah 41%

Troy Jackson 26%

Hannah Pingree 17%

Shenna Bellows 9.7%

Polymarket

$55,520 Vol.

Nirav Shah

$8,499 Vol.

41%

Troy Jackson

$8,656 Vol.

26%

Hannah Pingree

$5,442 Vol.

17%

Shenna Bellows

$5,462 Vol.

10%

Angus King III

$4,377 Vol.

6%

Jason Cherry

$19,485 Vol.

<1%

Kenneth Pinet

$3,599 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Recent polls from early May, including Schoen Cooperman and GQR surveys, show Nirav Shah leading Maine's Democratic gubernatorial primary with 28-32% first-choice support and up to 58% in final ranked-choice voting rounds, bolstering trader consensus at 40% implied probability ahead of the June 9 primary. Former CDC Director Shah's edge stems from strong name recognition from pandemic leadership and consistent polling gains over rivals like Senate President Troy Jackson (23%), former House Speaker Hannah Pingree (16.5%), and Secretary of State Shenna Bellows (10.4%). A May 1 statewide debate highlighted candidates' struggles to differentiate on policy, while Sierra Club endorsements for Jackson and Bellows failed to close the gap; final-week endorsements and turnout could shift this competitive field under Maine's ranked-choice system.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$55,520
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 9, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 10, 2025, 7:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Recent polls from early May, including Schoen Cooperman and GQR surveys, show Nirav Shah leading Maine's Democratic gubernatorial primary with 28-32% first-choice support and up to 58% in final ranked-choice voting rounds, bolstering trader consensus at 40% implied probability ahead of the June 9 primary. Former CDC Director Shah's edge stems from strong name recognition from pandemic leadership and consistent polling gains over rivals like Senate President Troy Jackson (23%), former House Speaker Hannah Pingree (16.5%), and Secretary of State Shenna Bellows (10.4%). A May 1 statewide debate highlighted candidates' struggles to differentiate on policy, while Sierra Club endorsements for Jackson and Bellows failed to close the gap; final-week endorsements and turnout could shift this competitive field under Maine's ranked-choice system.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$55,520
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 9, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 10, 2025, 7:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 7 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Nirav Shah" sa 41%, sinusundan ng "Troy Jackson" sa 26%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 41¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 41% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $55.5K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Dec 11, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 7 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Nirav Shah" sa 41%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 41% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Troy Jackson" sa 26%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.