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icon for Susunod na Punong Ministro ng UK sa 2026?
Politika·Inglatera

Susunod na Punong Ministro ng UK sa 2026?

icon for Susunod na Punong Ministro ng UK sa 2026?
Politika·Inglatera

Susunod na Punong Ministro ng UK sa 2026?

Andy Burnham 56.5%

Walang Susunod na PM sa 2026 13%

Angela Rayner 11%

Wes Streeting 10%

Polymarket

$7,249,674 Vol.

Andy Burnham 56.5%

Walang Susunod na PM sa 2026 13%

Angela Rayner 11%

Wes Streeting 10%

Polymarket

$7,249,674 Vol.

icon for Andy Burnham

Andy Burnham

$571,117 Vol.

56%

icon for Walang Susunod na PM sa 2026

Walang Susunod na PM sa 2026

$381,236 Vol.

13%

icon for Angela Rayner

Angela Rayner

$468,646 Vol.

11%

icon for Wes Streeting

Wes Streeting

$284,013 Vol.

10%

icon for Ed Miliband

Ed Miliband

$318,246 Vol.

7%

icon for Al Carns

Al Carns

$211,814 Vol.

3%

icon for Nigel Farage

Nigel Farage

$807,777 Vol.

1%

icon for Shabana Mahmood

Shabana Mahmood

$298,443 Vol.

1%

icon for Yvette Cooper

Yvette Cooper

$282,640 Vol.

1%

icon for Lucy Powell

Lucy Powell

$294,267 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rupert Lowe

Rupert Lowe

$689,923 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rachel Reeves

Rachel Reeves

$448,765 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kemi Badenoch

Kemi Badenoch

$196,450 Vol.

<1%

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Boris Johnson

$257,594 Vol.

<1%

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Ed Davey

$352,678 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bridget Phillipson

Bridget Phillipson

$135,226 Vol.

<1%

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Robert Jenrick

$374,018 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Lammy

David Lammy

$332,809 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Cleverly

James Cleverly

$296,449 Vol.

<1%

icon for Darren Jones

Darren Jones

$210,032 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Healey

John Healey

$38,441 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent turmoil within the governing Labour Party, driven by disappointing local election results and growing backbench pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, has elevated Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as the leading outcome in trader consensus for the next prime minister in 2026. Starmer has faced dozens of calls to resign or set a departure timetable, prompting cabinet resignations including from Health Secretary Wes Streeting and positioning by figures such as former Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner. Burnham’s strong personal popularity and path to returning to Parliament via a by-election in Makerfield underpin his position, though success depends on winning that seat and navigating any formal leadership contest. These developments highlight uncertainty over whether Starmer can retain control through the summer or if a change occurs before the end of 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,249,674
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent turmoil within the governing Labour Party, driven by disappointing local election results and growing backbench pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, has elevated Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as the leading outcome in trader consensus for the next prime minister in 2026. Starmer has faced dozens of calls to resign or set a departure timetable, prompting cabinet resignations including from Health Secretary Wes Streeting and positioning by figures such as former Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner. Burnham’s strong personal popularity and path to returning to Parliament via a by-election in Makerfield underpin his position, though success depends on winning that seat and navigating any formal leadership contest. These developments highlight uncertainty over whether Starmer can retain control through the summer or if a change occurs before the end of 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,249,674
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Susunod na Punong Ministro ng UK sa 2026?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 21 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Andy Burnham" sa 56%, sinusundan ng "Walang Susunod na PM sa 2026" sa 13%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 56¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 56% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Susunod na Punong Ministro ng UK sa 2026?" ay naka-generate ng $7.2 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Feb 5, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Susunod na Punong Ministro ng UK sa 2026?," i-browse ang 21 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Susunod na Punong Ministro ng UK sa 2026?" ay "Andy Burnham" sa 56%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 56% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Walang Susunod na PM sa 2026" sa 13%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Susunod na Punong Ministro ng UK sa 2026?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.