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Politika·Primarya Ng Senado

Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary Winner

icon for Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary Winner
Politika·Primarya Ng Senado

Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary Winner

Kevin Hern 94%

John M. O’Connor <1%

Nick Hankins <1%

Wayne Lonny Washington <1%

Polymarket

$59,628 Vol.

Kevin Hern 94%

John M. O’Connor <1%

Nick Hankins <1%

Wayne Lonny Washington <1%

Polymarket

$59,628 Vol.

Kevin Hern

$11,913 Vol.

94%

John M. O’Connor

$1,083 Vol.

1%

Nick Hankins

$859 Vol.

1%

Wayne Lonny Washington

$1,255 Vol.

1%

Stephanie Bice

$2,879 Vol.

<1%

Markwayne Mullin

$37,901 Vol.

<1%

Donelle Harder

$893 Vol.

<1%

Ron Meinhardt

$1,197 Vol.

<1%

Tammy Swearengin

$837 Vol.

<1%

Matt Pinnell

$811 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma. If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Kevin Hern's 94% implied probability in the Oklahoma Republican U.S. Senate primary reflects his dominant position following Sen. Markwayne Mullin's March 2026 confirmation as DHS Secretary, vacating the seat. Hern quickly announced his candidacy on March 11, securing swift endorsements from President Trump, Senate Majority Leader John Thune, Sen. Tim Scott, and Club for Growth, while high-profile figures like Gov. Kevin Stitt opted out. With candidate filing closed in early April and no major challengers emerging—despite long-shot entries from Rep. Stephanie Bice, Lt. Gov. Matt Pinnell, and others—traders see little competition ahead of the June 16 primary. Upsets could arise from a late scandal, surprise endorsement shift, or unexpected polling surge for a rival, though structural advantages favor Hern's path to nomination.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.

If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$59,628
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 16, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 5, 2026, 5:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma. If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma. If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Kevin Hern's 94% implied probability in the Oklahoma Republican U.S. Senate primary reflects his dominant position following Sen. Markwayne Mullin's March 2026 confirmation as DHS Secretary, vacating the seat. Hern quickly announced his candidacy on March 11, securing swift endorsements from President Trump, Senate Majority Leader John Thune, Sen. Tim Scott, and Club for Growth, while high-profile figures like Gov. Kevin Stitt opted out. With candidate filing closed in early April and no major challengers emerging—despite long-shot entries from Rep. Stephanie Bice, Lt. Gov. Matt Pinnell, and others—traders see little competition ahead of the June 16 primary. Upsets could arise from a late scandal, surprise endorsement shift, or unexpected polling surge for a rival, though structural advantages favor Hern's path to nomination.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.

If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$59,628
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 16, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 5, 2026, 5:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma. If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 10 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Kevin Hern" sa 94%, sinusundan ng "John M. O’Connor" sa 1%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 94¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 94% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $59.6K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Mar 5, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary Winner," i-browse ang 10 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary Winner" ay "Kevin Hern" sa 94%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 94% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "John M. O’Connor" sa 1%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.