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Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

Montana Democratic Senate Primary Winner

icon for Montana Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

Montana Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Reilly Neill 94%

Alani Bankhead 3.2%

Michael BlackWolf 2.9%

Kathleen McLaughlin <1%

Polymarket
BAGO

Reilly Neill 94%

Alani Bankhead 3.2%

Michael BlackWolf 2.9%

Kathleen McLaughlin <1%

Polymarket
BAGO

Reilly Neill

$5,285 Vol.

94%

Alani Bankhead

$1,287 Vol.

3%

Michael BlackWolf

$306 Vol.

3%

Kathleen McLaughlin

$199 Vol.

<1%

Michael Hummert

$2,221 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana. If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**Reilly Neill's commanding 93.5% trader consensus in the Montana Democratic U.S. Senate primary reflects her frontrunner status among a fragmented field, bolstered by superior fundraising—holding roughly $104,000 of Democrats' combined $131,000 cash on hand per mid-April FEC reports—and name recognition as a former state legislator who entered early post-2024.** With the June 2 primary nearing, her visibility from April candidate debates in Helena outweighs lesser-known rivals like Alani Bankhead and Michael BlackWolf, who lack comparable resources. A GOP super PAC mailer on May 9 labeling Neill "too liberal" aims to boost her nomination as a weaker general election foe against Republicans, reinforcing trader confidence. Realistic challenges include late party endorsements for a challenger, personal scandals, or surprise voter turnout favoring underdogs, though structural barriers like funding gaps limit such shifts.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana.

If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$9,298
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 2, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana. If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana. If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**Reilly Neill's commanding 93.5% trader consensus in the Montana Democratic U.S. Senate primary reflects her frontrunner status among a fragmented field, bolstered by superior fundraising—holding roughly $104,000 of Democrats' combined $131,000 cash on hand per mid-April FEC reports—and name recognition as a former state legislator who entered early post-2024.** With the June 2 primary nearing, her visibility from April candidate debates in Helena outweighs lesser-known rivals like Alani Bankhead and Michael BlackWolf, who lack comparable resources. A GOP super PAC mailer on May 9 labeling Neill "too liberal" aims to boost her nomination as a weaker general election foe against Republicans, reinforcing trader confidence. Realistic challenges include late party endorsements for a challenger, personal scandals, or surprise voter turnout favoring underdogs, though structural barriers like funding gaps limit such shifts.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana.

If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$9,298
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 2, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana. If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Montana Democratic Senate Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 5 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Reilly Neill" sa 94%, sinusundan ng "Alani Bankhead" sa 3%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 94¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 94% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Montana Democratic Senate Primary Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Dec 3, 2025. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Montana Democratic Senate Primary Winner," i-browse ang 5 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Montana Democratic Senate Primary Winner" ay "Reilly Neill" sa 94%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 94% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Alani Bankhead" sa 3%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Montana Democratic Senate Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.