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Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner

icon for Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner

David Brock Smith 62.3%

Jo Rae Perkins 32%

Russell McAlmond 2.8%

Joe Johnson 1.4%

Polymarket

$89,062 Vol.

David Brock Smith 62.3%

Jo Rae Perkins 32%

Russell McAlmond 2.8%

Joe Johnson 1.4%

Polymarket

$89,062 Vol.

David Brock Smith

$4,336 Vol.

62%

Jo Rae Perkins

$15,431 Vol.

32%

Russell McAlmond

$14,566 Vol.

3%

Joe Johnson

$10,443 Vol.

1%

David Burch

$23,134 Vol.

1%

Brent Barker

$2,456 Vol.

1%

Tim Skelton

$8,995 Vol.

1%

Deborah C. Brown

$2,850 Vol.

1%

Douglas T. Muck Jr.

$6,852 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Sen. David Brock Smith leads Oregon's Republican U.S. Senate primary at 60% trader consensus on Polymarket, reflecting recent endorsements from key GOP figures including House Republican Leader Dan Rayfield—no, wait: Leader Elmer, Senate colleagues like Sen. Brian Boquist—no, Nash, McLane, and conservative groups such as Oregon Right to Life, as highlighted in a May 2 rally of support and his campaign promotions through May 14. These developments signal party consolidation behind Brock Smith as the most viable general election challenger to incumbent Sen. Jeff Merkley, bolstering his fundraising and statewide relationships amid a fragmented nine-candidate field. Jo Rae Perkins trails at 32% on prior 2020 nomination name recognition but faces skepticism over electability. With ballots mailed April 29 and the May 19 primary approaching, early voting turnout and final endorsements could shift the closely contested race.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon.

If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$89,062
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 19, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Sen. David Brock Smith leads Oregon's Republican U.S. Senate primary at 60% trader consensus on Polymarket, reflecting recent endorsements from key GOP figures including House Republican Leader Dan Rayfield—no, wait: Leader Elmer, Senate colleagues like Sen. Brian Boquist—no, Nash, McLane, and conservative groups such as Oregon Right to Life, as highlighted in a May 2 rally of support and his campaign promotions through May 14. These developments signal party consolidation behind Brock Smith as the most viable general election challenger to incumbent Sen. Jeff Merkley, bolstering his fundraising and statewide relationships amid a fragmented nine-candidate field. Jo Rae Perkins trails at 32% on prior 2020 nomination name recognition but faces skepticism over electability. With ballots mailed April 29 and the May 19 primary approaching, early voting turnout and final endorsements could shift the closely contested race.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon.

If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$89,062
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 19, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 9 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "David Brock Smith" sa 62%, sinusundan ng "Jo Rae Perkins" sa 32%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 62¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 62% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $89.1K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Dec 16, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner," i-browse ang 9 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner" ay "David Brock Smith" sa 62%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 62% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Jo Rae Perkins" sa 32%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.