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Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

Pangunahing Nanalo ng Senado ng Virginia Republican

icon for Pangunahing Nanalo ng Senado ng Virginia Republican
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

Pangunahing Nanalo ng Senado ng Virginia Republican

Bert Mizusawa 52%

Kim Farington 30.6%

David Williams 11%

Alex De Paula 2.4%

Polymarket

$2,401,611 Vol.

Bert Mizusawa 52%

Kim Farington 30.6%

David Williams 11%

Alex De Paula 2.4%

Polymarket

$2,401,611 Vol.

Bert Mizusawa

$10,764 Vol.

52%

Kim Farington

$457,147 Vol.

31%

David Williams

$14,390 Vol.

11%

Alex De Paula

$3,642 Vol.

2%

Chuck Smith

$5,076 Vol.

2%

Al Mina

$1,847,158 Vol.

1%

Winsome Earle-Sears

$11,035 Vol.

1%

Jason Miyares

$15,190 Vol.

<1%

Bryce Reeves

$37,208 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Bert Mizusawa leads trader consensus at 51.5% implied probability in the Virginia Republican U.S. Senate primary on August 4, driven by his retired Army Major General credentials appealing to the state's military-heavy GOP base, superior fundraising with nearly $200,000 raised, and a slight edge in the May 1-5 Public Sentiment Institute poll (24% to Kim Farington's 22%). Farington trails at 30.4% on her fiscal conservative profile as a CPA and federal executive combating government waste, while David Williams holds 10.5% buoyed by Marine combat experience. Recent calls for field consolidation behind Mizusawa, amid high-volume Polymarket trading over $2.4 million, reflect momentum toward a unified challenger to incumbent Democrat Mark Warner, though a large undecided pool and 2.5 months until the primary keep the race competitive.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia.

If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$2,401,611
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 16, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 26, 2025, 6:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Bert Mizusawa leads trader consensus at 51.5% implied probability in the Virginia Republican U.S. Senate primary on August 4, driven by his retired Army Major General credentials appealing to the state's military-heavy GOP base, superior fundraising with nearly $200,000 raised, and a slight edge in the May 1-5 Public Sentiment Institute poll (24% to Kim Farington's 22%). Farington trails at 30.4% on her fiscal conservative profile as a CPA and federal executive combating government waste, while David Williams holds 10.5% buoyed by Marine combat experience. Recent calls for field consolidation behind Mizusawa, amid high-volume Polymarket trading over $2.4 million, reflect momentum toward a unified challenger to incumbent Democrat Mark Warner, though a large undecided pool and 2.5 months until the primary keep the race competitive.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia.

If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$2,401,611
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 16, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 26, 2025, 6:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Pangunahing Nanalo ng Senado ng Virginia Republican" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 9 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Bert Mizusawa" sa 52%, sinusundan ng "Kim Farington" sa 31%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 52¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 52% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Pangunahing Nanalo ng Senado ng Virginia Republican" ay naka-generate ng $2.4 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 27, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Pangunahing Nanalo ng Senado ng Virginia Republican," i-browse ang 9 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Pangunahing Nanalo ng Senado ng Virginia Republican" ay "Bert Mizusawa" sa 52%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 52% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Kim Farington" sa 31%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Pangunahing Nanalo ng Senado ng Virginia Republican" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.