The razor-thin runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez has produced a statistical tie in preliminary tallies, with Sánchez holding a marginal lead near 50.1% to 49.9% after 95% of ballots counted as rural areas favor him and overseas votes tilt toward Fujimori. This positioning aligns with trader consensus on sub-0.5% margins because Peru's recent presidential runoffs have repeatedly required extended counts, recounts, and legal challenges before final certification. Remaining ballots and potential procedural reviews could still shift the outcome within the narrowest brackets, reflecting the electoral system's sensitivity to small vote swings in a polarized contest.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updatePeru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)
Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)
Fujimori 0.2–0.3% 34%
Fujimori 0.3–0.4% 23%
Fujimori 0.1–0.2% 20%
Fujimori 0–0.1% 20%
BAGO
$254,599 Vol.
BAGO
$254,599 Vol.
Fujimori 1%+
<1%
Fujimori 0.9–1.0%
<1%
Fujimori 0.8–0.9%
<1%
Fujimori 0.7–0.8%
<1%
Fujimori 0.6–0.7%
<1%
Fujimori 0.5–0.6%
<1%
Fujimori 0.4–0.5%
5%
Fujimori 0.3–0.4%
23%
Fujimori 0.2–0.3%
34%
Fujimori 0.1–0.2%
20%
Fujimori 0–0.1%
20%
Sánchez 0–0.1%
4%
Sánchez 0.1–0.2%
<1%
Sánchez 0.2–0.3%
<1%
Sánchez 0.3–0.4%
1%
Sánchez 0.4–0.5%
<1%
Sánchez 0.5–0.6%
<1%
Sánchez 0.6–0.7%
<1%
Sánchez 0.7–0.8%
<1%
Sánchez 0.8–0.9%
<1%
Sánchez 0.9–1.0%
<1%
Sánchez 1%+
<1%
Other
<1%
Fujimori 0.2–0.3% 34%
Fujimori 0.3–0.4% 23%
Fujimori 0.1–0.2% 20%
Fujimori 0–0.1% 20%
BAGO
$254,599 Vol.
BAGO
$254,599 Vol.
Fujimori 1%+
$6,384 Vol.
<1%
Fujimori 0.9–1.0%
$3,929 Vol.
<1%
Fujimori 0.8–0.9%
$3,400 Vol.
<1%
Fujimori 0.7–0.8%
$5,255 Vol.
<1%
Fujimori 0.6–0.7%
$4,555 Vol.
<1%
Fujimori 0.5–0.6%
$4,661 Vol.
<1%
Fujimori 0.4–0.5%
$21,115 Vol.
5%
Fujimori 0.3–0.4%
$35,370 Vol.
23%
Fujimori 0.2–0.3%
$18,352 Vol.
34%
Fujimori 0.1–0.2%
$24,231 Vol.
20%
Fujimori 0–0.1%
$33,647 Vol.
20%
Sánchez 0–0.1%
$14,487 Vol.
4%
Sánchez 0.1–0.2%
$11,476 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0.2–0.3%
$9,985 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0.3–0.4%
$7,746 Vol.
1%
Sánchez 0.4–0.5%
$6,786 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0.5–0.6%
$6,153 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0.6–0.7%
$6,934 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0.7–0.8%
$9,593 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0.8–0.9%
$4,756 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 0.9–1.0%
$4,631 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 1%+
$4,525 Vol.
<1%
Other
$6,649 Vol.
<1%
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The razor-thin runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez has produced a statistical tie in preliminary tallies, with Sánchez holding a marginal lead near 50.1% to 49.9% after 95% of ballots counted as rural areas favor him and overseas votes tilt toward Fujimori. This positioning aligns with trader consensus on sub-0.5% margins because Peru's recent presidential runoffs have repeatedly required extended counts, recounts, and legal challenges before final certification. Remaining ballots and potential procedural reviews could still shift the outcome within the narrowest brackets, reflecting the electoral system's sensitivity to small vote swings in a polarized contest.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ET
Volume
$254,599Binuksan ang Market
Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The razor-thin runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez has produced a statistical tie in preliminary tallies, with Sánchez holding a marginal lead near 50.1% to 49.9% after 95% of ballots counted as rural areas favor him and overseas votes tilt toward Fujimori. This positioning aligns with trader consensus on sub-0.5% margins because Peru's recent presidential runoffs have repeatedly required extended counts, recounts, and legal challenges before final certification. Remaining ballots and potential procedural reviews could still shift the outcome within the narrowest brackets, reflecting the electoral system's sensitivity to small vote swings in a polarized contest.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$254,599Binuksan ang Market
Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The razor-thin runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez has produced a statistical tie in preliminary tallies, with Sánchez holding a marginal lead near 50.1% to 49.9% after 95% of ballots counted as rural areas favor him and overseas votes tilt toward Fujimori. This positioning aligns with trader consensus on sub-0.5% margins because Peru's recent presidential runoffs have repeatedly required extended counts, recounts, and legal challenges before final certification. Remaining ballots and potential procedural reviews could still shift the outcome within the narrowest brackets, reflecting the electoral system's sensitivity to small vote swings in a polarized contest.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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