Skip to main content
icon for PA House of Representatives District 12 Special Election Winner
Politika·Halalan Sa Usa

PA House of Representatives District 12 Special Election Winner

icon for PA House of Representatives District 12 Special Election Winner
Politika·Halalan Sa Usa

PA House of Representatives District 12 Special Election Winner

BAGO
Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Scott Timko

Scott Timko

$0 Vol.

68%

icon for Brandon Dukes

Brandon Dukes

$0 Vol.

13%

A special election is currently scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the 12th district seat in the Pennsylvania House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/. The special election for Pennsylvania House District 12, triggered by the March 2026 resignation of the prior Republican incumbent, features Republican Scott Timko and Democrat Brandon Dukes as the primary general-election contenders on the August 18 ballot. Timko secured the GOP nomination in a close May primary, while Dukes advanced unopposed on the Democratic side. The district spans portions of Butler County and surrounding areas, where recent primary margins and limited polling data reflect a competitive partisan balance. With the vote roughly one month away, trader consensus at even odds across listed outcomes underscores uncertainty over turnout patterns, local issue salience, and any late campaign developments that could shift support between the two nominees or elevate write-in or alternative candidates.

A special election is currently scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the 12th district seat in the Pennsylvania House of Representatives.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/.
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 21, 2026, 7:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A special election is currently scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the 12th district seat in the Pennsylvania House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/.
A special election is currently scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the 12th district seat in the Pennsylvania House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/. The special election for Pennsylvania House District 12, triggered by the March 2026 resignation of the prior Republican incumbent, features Republican Scott Timko and Democrat Brandon Dukes as the primary general-election contenders on the August 18 ballot. Timko secured the GOP nomination in a close May primary, while Dukes advanced unopposed on the Democratic side. The district spans portions of Butler County and surrounding areas, where recent primary margins and limited polling data reflect a competitive partisan balance. With the vote roughly one month away, trader consensus at even odds across listed outcomes underscores uncertainty over turnout patterns, local issue salience, and any late campaign developments that could shift support between the two nominees or elevate write-in or alternative candidates.

A special election is currently scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the 12th district seat in the Pennsylvania House of Representatives.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/.
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 21, 2026, 7:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A special election is currently scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the 12th district seat in the Pennsylvania House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/.

Kaugnay

icon for Will the Democratic Party win the PA-12 House seat?

Will the Democratic Party win the PA-12 House seat?

94%
icon for Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election?

Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election?

94%
icon for Will Everton Blair win the 2026 GA-13 special election?

Will Everton Blair win the 2026 GA-13 special election?

49%

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "PA House of Representatives District 12 Special Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 2 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Scott Timko" sa 68%, sinusundan ng "Brandon Dukes" sa 13%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 68¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 68% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "PA House of Representatives District 12 Special Election Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Jul 21, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "PA House of Representatives District 12 Special Election Winner," i-browse ang 2 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "PA House of Representatives District 12 Special Election Winner" ay "Scott Timko" sa 68%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 68% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Brandon Dukes" sa 13%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "PA House of Representatives District 12 Special Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.