Houthi forces seized Perim Island (also known as Mayun) in the Bab al-Mandeb Strait on or around September 11, 2026, after Saudi-backed Yemeni government troops withdrew from the island and nearby coastal positions including Mocha and Dhubab. This rapid offensive, supported by Iranian Revolutionary Guard guidance according to multiple Yemeni and regional sources, completed Houthi control of Yemen’s western Red Sea coastline and key islands, strengthening their position at the narrow chokepoint linking the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden. The development occurred amid the broader Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, redirecting Saudi oil exports through the route. Analysts note the island’s terrain favors short-term defense by the Houthis but could face challenges from amphibious operations; Saudi Arabia has sought U.S. support while Washington has so far limited involvement to intelligence and targeting assistance. Any future recapture would likely depend on coordinated military action or shifts in the wider regional confrontation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateBAGO
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
3%
October 31
33%
December 31
28%
$2,580 Vol.
September 30
$962 Vol.
3%
October 31
$700 Vol.
33%
December 31
$917 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Houthi forces seized Perim Island (also known as Mayun) in the Bab al-Mandeb Strait on or around September 11, 2026, after Saudi-backed Yemeni government troops withdrew from the island and nearby coastal positions including Mocha and Dhubab. This rapid offensive, supported by Iranian Revolutionary Guard guidance according to multiple Yemeni and regional sources, completed Houthi control of Yemen’s western Red Sea coastline and key islands, strengthening their position at the narrow chokepoint linking the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden. The development occurred amid the broader Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, redirecting Saudi oil exports through the route. Analysts note the island’s terrain favors short-term defense by the Houthis but could face challenges from amphibious operations; Saudi Arabia has sought U.S. support while Washington has so far limited involvement to intelligence and targeting assistance. Any future recapture would likely depend on coordinated military action or shifts in the wider regional confrontation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 17, 2026, 11:33 AM ET
Volume
$2,580Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Sep 17, 2026, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Houthi forces seized Perim Island (also known as Mayun) in the Bab al-Mandeb Strait on or around September 11, 2026, after Saudi-backed Yemeni government troops withdrew from the island and nearby coastal positions including Mocha and Dhubab. This rapid offensive, supported by Iranian Revolutionary Guard guidance according to multiple Yemeni and regional sources, completed Houthi control of Yemen’s western Red Sea coastline and key islands, strengthening their position at the narrow chokepoint linking the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden. The development occurred amid the broader Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, redirecting Saudi oil exports through the route. Analysts note the island’s terrain favors short-term defense by the Houthis but could face challenges from amphibious operations; Saudi Arabia has sought U.S. support while Washington has so far limited involvement to intelligence and targeting assistance. Any future recapture would likely depend on coordinated military action or shifts in the wider regional confrontation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,580Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Sep 17, 2026, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Houthi forces seized Perim Island (also known as Mayun) in the Bab al-Mandeb Strait on or around September 11, 2026, after Saudi-backed Yemeni government troops withdrew from the island and nearby coastal positions including Mocha and Dhubab. This rapid offensive, supported by Iranian Revolutionary Guard guidance according to multiple Yemeni and regional sources, completed Houthi control of Yemen’s western Red Sea coastline and key islands, strengthening their position at the narrow chokepoint linking the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden. The development occurred amid the broader Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, redirecting Saudi oil exports through the route. Analysts note the island’s terrain favors short-term defense by the Houthis but could face challenges from amphibious operations; Saudi Arabia has sought U.S. support while Washington has so far limited involvement to intelligence and targeting assistance. Any future recapture would likely depend on coordinated military action or shifts in the wider regional confrontation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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