The legislation passed the House of Representatives in April 2025 and again in a revised form in February 2026, yet it has remained stalled in the Senate since receipt. With Republicans holding 53 seats, the bill requires 60 votes to overcome a filibuster, and no Democratic support has emerged while at least one Republican has opposed proceeding. Senate leadership has not scheduled a final vote, and efforts to alter procedural rules have not advanced. These institutional and partisan constraints explain the 92 percent implied probability that the measure will not become law before the end of 2026, even as supporters continue to highlight it as a priority.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$165,816 Vol.
$165,816 Vol.
$165,816 Vol.
$165,816 Vol.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The legislation passed the House of Representatives in April 2025 and again in a revised form in February 2026, yet it has remained stalled in the Senate since receipt. With Republicans holding 53 seats, the bill requires 60 votes to overcome a filibuster, and no Democratic support has emerged while at least one Republican has opposed proceeding. Senate leadership has not scheduled a final vote, and efforts to alter procedural rules have not advanced. These institutional and partisan constraints explain the 92 percent implied probability that the measure will not become law before the end of 2026, even as supporters continue to highlight it as a priority.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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