Mark Smith’s strong fundraising edge and experience as a state representative have established him as the clear frontrunner in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District Republican primary, driving the current 70.5% trader consensus on his nomination. With the June 9 primary approaching, Smith has reported nearly $727,000 raised and substantial cash on hand, outpacing rivals while participating in recent candidate forums that highlight local governance records. Alex Pelbath’s military background and $365,000 in contributions keep him competitive at 11%, alongside Sam McCown at 10.8%, though both trail in early straw polls and media attention. The open seat, created by Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial bid, has drawn a crowded field where fundraising, grassroots events, and voter forums continue to shape primary dynamics and implied probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateSC-01 Republican Primary Winner
Mark Smith 70%
Alex Pelbath 18%
Sam McCown 9.5%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt 4.1%
$14,480 Vol.
$14,480 Vol.
Mark Smith
70%
Alex Pelbath
18%
Sam McCown
10%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt
4%
Jay Byars
4%
Jack Ellison
1%
Logan Cunningham
1%
Justin Myers
1%
Dan Brown
1%
Mark Smith 70%
Alex Pelbath 18%
Sam McCown 9.5%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt 4.1%
$14,480 Vol.
$14,480 Vol.
Mark Smith
70%
Alex Pelbath
18%
Sam McCown
10%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt
4%
Jay Byars
4%
Jack Ellison
1%
Logan Cunningham
1%
Justin Myers
1%
Dan Brown
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Smith’s strong fundraising edge and experience as a state representative have established him as the clear frontrunner in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District Republican primary, driving the current 70.5% trader consensus on his nomination. With the June 9 primary approaching, Smith has reported nearly $727,000 raised and substantial cash on hand, outpacing rivals while participating in recent candidate forums that highlight local governance records. Alex Pelbath’s military background and $365,000 in contributions keep him competitive at 11%, alongside Sam McCown at 10.8%, though both trail in early straw polls and media attention. The open seat, created by Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial bid, has drawn a crowded field where fundraising, grassroots events, and voter forums continue to shape primary dynamics and implied probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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